[PBARC] Special Weather Statement

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

WWUS84 KLZK 170431
SPSLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171200-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1025 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171200-
ARKANSAS AR-BAXTER AR-BOONE AR-BRADLEY AR-CALHOUN AR-CLARK AR-
CLEBURNE AR-CLEVELAND AR-CONWAY AR-DALLAS AR-DESHA AR-DREW AR- 
FAULKNER AR-FULTON AR-GARLAND AR-GRANT AR-HOT SPRING AR-
INDEPENDENCE AR-IZARD AR-JACKSON AR-JEFFERSON AR-JOHNSON AR-
LINCOLN AR-LOGAN AR-LONOKE AR-MARION AR-MONROE AR-MONTGOMERY AR- 
NEWTON AR-OUACHITA AR-PERRY AR-PIKE AR-POLK AR-POPE AR-
PRAIRIE AR-PULASKI AR-SALINE AR-SCOTT AR-SEARCY AR-SHARP AR-
STONE AR-VAN BUREN AR-WHITE AR-WOODRUFF AR-YELL AR-
1025 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2003

..SEVERE WEATHER/HEAVY RAIN LIKELY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...

A STORM SYSTEM ALOFT WAS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES 
SUNDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY AS IT HEADS INTO THE 
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY...AND OVER ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY 
TUESDAY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INITIATE A HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE 
WEATHER EVENT ACROSS THE REGION.

AS OF SUNDAY EVENING...WARM AND MOIST AIR WAS ALONG THE GULF COAST. 
AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST ON MONDAY...THIS AIR WILL 
STREAM NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME 
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE...WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING.
 
IT APPEARS THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE AIR WILL BE UNUSUALLY HIGH 
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THIS WILL INCREASE THE PRECIPITATION 
EFFICIENCY...WITH HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN IN THE FORECAST. IT 
APPEARS THAT TWO TO THREE INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR...WITH 
LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.       

THE LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT THERE WILL BE A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT OF 
WIND ENERGY WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. THIS ENERGY WILL TRANSLATE 
INTO FAST MOVING STORMS...WITH THE STORMS EVENTUALLY FORMING INTO A 
LINE AS THE SYSTEM DRAGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. SOME OF 
THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS. 

WITH SO MUCH WIND ENERGY...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE ORDINARY FOR 
CIRCULATIONS TO FORM ALONG LINES OF STORMS. THIS MAY OCCUR DURING 
THE UPCOMING EVENT...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

OF COURSE...THE TIMING AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM MAY CHANGE...AND THE 
FORECAST MAY BE ALTERED BEFORE THE EVENT UNFOLDS. YOUR NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE WILL BE MONITORING THE SITUATION VERY CLOSELY.

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER MONDAY 
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS FOR THE MOST 
UP TO DATE INFORMATION. 
          
$$

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WWWW

73,
Glenn