[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 170112 AAC
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
705 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

WARM AND MOIST AIR ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL GRADUALLY BUILD 
NORTHWARD INTO ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT. THIS WARMER AIR WILL HEAD INTO A 
COOLER ENVIRONMENT...CAUSING WIDESPREAD FOG TO FORM. THE FOG WILL BE 
DENSE MAINLY FROM NORTHERN INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THIS IN ADDITION 
TO LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL DROP VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO 
IN SOME AREAS. MOTORISTS ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION ON AREA ROADS 
AND BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY.

THE INCREASE IN WARMER AIR IS IN RESPONSE TO AN ADVANCING WARM FRONT 
NEAR THE ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA BORDER. IN ADDITION TO THE 
FOG...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
NORTH OF THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT.

THE CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER TONIGHT WILL BE LOW. HOWEVER...THE 
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...MAINLY SOUTH OF LITTLE 
ROCK. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EXPANDING NORTHWARD MONDAY 
MORNING AS THE WARM FRONT CONTINUES LIFTING INTO CENTRAL AND 
NORTHERN ARKANSAS. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE DURING THE 
MORNING HOURS.

IT STILL APPEARS THAT THE RAIN MAY TAPER OFF BRIEFLY MONDAY 
AFTERNOON. AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE STATE...SOUTHERLY 
WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM IN THE 
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES BACK TO THE NATURAL STATE. THIS ALONG WITH ABUNDANT 
MOISTURE WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. 

THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND DRAG 
A COLD FRONT THROUGH ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. A LINE 
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE 
FRONT. STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR WITH THE LINE OF STORMS...
ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES.

SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH 
OF THIS SYSTEM AND FORECAST CHANGES MAY OCCUR BEFORE THE EVENT 
UNFOLDS.

PEOPLE ACROSS ARKANSAS ARE ADVISED TO PLAN FOR ACTIVE WEATHER LATE 
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS FOR THE 
MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY 
NIGHT.

$$

46






73,
Glenn