[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 151052
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-161100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST SAT NOV 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LIGHT RAIN OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WILL 
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH LATER TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. A WEAK 
FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED WITH THE RAINFALL WILL ALSO SLIDE SLOWLY 
SOUTHWARD INTO THE STATE BY TONIGHT BEFORE IT BECOMES STATIONARY.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY 
NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN 
PLAINS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR BACK INTO 
ARKANSAS FROM THE GULF...ALONG WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES.

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY 
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...WITH 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS. 

IT STILL APPEARS THAT RAIN MAY TAPER OFF BRIEFLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. 
AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE STATE...ABOVE NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LEFT BEHIND. THIS ALONG WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE 
WILL MAKE THE ATMOSPHERE UNSTABLE. 

THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT 
THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING. THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SEVERE 
STORMS. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN REGARDS TO THE TIMING 
AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. ARKANSANS ARE REMINDED TO LISTEN TO 
LATER FORECASTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE MOST UP 
TO DATE INFORMATION.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY. HOWEVER... 
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY 
NIGHT.

$$

44


73,
Glenn