[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 091709 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1105 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-101100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
1105 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WAS LOCATED IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA LATE THIS MORNING. 
THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHERN 
MISSOURI BY THIS EVENING. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST...IT WILL 
DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. SHOWERS WERE BECOMING 
WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN WESTERN ARKANSAS AS OF 11 AM... 
WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NOTED AS WELL. 

STORMS HAVE HAD DIFFICULTY INTENSIFYING LATE THIS MORNING DUE TO A 
LACK OF INSTABILITY. CLOUDS WERE HOLDING TEMPERATURES DOWN...WITH 
READINGS ONLY IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EVEN SO...TEMPERATURES 
AND MOISTURE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INCREASE THIS 
AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHER INSTABILITY RESULTING. STORMS THAT DEVELOP 
MAY BECOME SEVERE.

AT THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE MOST LIKELY 
ACROSS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS...OR IN AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF 
TEXARKANA...LITTLE ROCK...AND WEST MEMPHIS. IN THESE AREAS...THE 
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND WITH ISOLATED 
TORNADOES POSSIBLE. FARTHER NORTH...SHOULD STORMS BECOME 
SEVERE...THERE MAY BE LARGE HAIL PRODUCED.       

IT APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE INCREASING 
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. PRECIPITATION INTENSITY SHOULD PICK UP 
AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE STATE AND ENCOUNTERS MORE UNSTABLE AIR. 
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST ACROSS THE EASTERN 
HALF OF ARKANSAS...WHERE SOME AREAS COULD PICK UP OVER AN INCH OF 
RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT. 

BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH MUCH 
COLDER AIR EXPECTED TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE LEFTOVER PRECIPITATION AS 
THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...AND RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW 
TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING IN EXTREME NORTHERN ARKANSAS. LITTLE IF ANY 
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS IN THE FORECAST.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT ON 
WEDNESDAY AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH COOL AND 
DRY CONDITIONS.

THE HIGH WILL DEPART TO THE EAST THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER STORM 
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A 
CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE 
REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

$$

46







73,
Glenn