[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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Tue, 09 Dec 2003 07:51:25 -0600


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FLUS44 KLZK 091348 AAA
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
750 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-101100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
750 AM CST TUE DEC 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM IN OKLAHOMA WILL TRACK THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS 
INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY THIS EVENING. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES 
NORTHEAST...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. SHOWERS 
WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS 
POSSIBLE. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE 
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS UNTIL 1 PM.

AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST...WARMTH AND MOISTURE WILL BE SPREADING 
NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF COAST. THIS WILL CREATE AN UNSTABLE 
ATMOSPHERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. 

IT APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL BE GREATEST DURING THE 
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. PRECIPITATION INTENSITY 
SHOULD PICK UP AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE STATE AND ENCOUNTERS MORE 
UNSTABLE AIR. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST 
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...WHERE SOME AREAS COULD PICK UP 
OVER AN INCH OF RAIN. 

BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH MUCH 
COLDER AIR EXPECTED TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE LEFTOVER PRECIPITATION AS 
THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...AND RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW 
TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING IN EXTREME NORTHERN ARKANSAS. LITTLE IF ANY 
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS IN THE FORECAST.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT ON 
WEDNESDAY AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH COOL AND 
DRY CONDITIONS.

THE HIGH WILL DEPART TO THE EAST THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER STORM 
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A 
CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. WITH ONLY ISOLATED
SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ON TUESDAY IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION APPEARS UNLIKELY. 

$$

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73,
Glenn