[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
330 PM CST MON DEC 8 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-091100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
330 PM CST MON DEC 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT. BY 
DAWN TUESDAY...THE SYSTEM WILL BE LOCATED IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. 
A SOUTH WIND WILL STRENGTHEN AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM OVERNIGHT...WITH 
SOME GUSTS MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN 
ARKANSAS. A FEW SHOWERS WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE SYSTEM IN OKLAHOMA WILL TRACK THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO 
SOUTHERN MISSOURI BY TUESDAY EVENING. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES 
NORTHEAST...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION. SHOWERS 
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD AHEAD OF THE FRONT. 

AS THE FRONT PUSHES EAST...WARMTH AND MOISTURE WILL BE SPREADING 
NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF COAST REGION. THIS WILL CREATE AN UNSTABLE 
ATMOSPHERE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT 
POP UP WILL BE MOST CONCENTRATED IN AREAS SOUTH OF LITTLE 
ROCK...WITH A CHANCE THAT SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. 

IT APPEARS THAT PRECIPITATION COVERAGE WILL BE GREATEST DURING THE 
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION INTENSITY 
SHOULD PICK UP AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE STATE AND ENCOUNTERS MORE 
UNSTABLE AIR. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST 
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS...WHERE SOME AREAS COULD PICK UP 
OVER AN INCH OF RAIN. 

BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST WITH MUCH 
COLDER AIR EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL BE
LEFTOVER PRECIPITATION AS THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES...AND RAIN MAY MIX 
WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING IN EXTREME NORTHERN 
ARKANSAS. LITTLE IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS IN THE FORECAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY THROUGH 
FRIDAY...WITH COOL AND DRY WEATHER.

THE HIGH WILL DEPART TO THE EAST THIS WEEKEND...WITH ANOTHER STORM 
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A 
CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED TONIGHT. WITH ONLY ISOLATED
SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED ON TUESDAY IN SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION APPEARS UNLIKELY. 

$$

46




73,
Glenn