[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[pbarc@mailman.qth.net]

Weather information brought to you by N5RN.

FLUS44 KLZK 081026
HWOLIT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CST MON DEC 8 2003

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-091100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-
VAN BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CST MON DEC 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY BUT WET WEATHER IS 
SET TO RETURN TONIGHT. A LARGE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE 
WESTERN UNITED STATES WILL MOVE EASTWARD TODAY....REACHING THE GREAT 
BASIN BY THE END OF THE DAY. AN INTENSE MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL 
SWING INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH RESULTING IN SURFACE LOW PRESSURE 
DEVELOPING LATE IN THE DAY IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. AS IT DOES... 
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF GULF MOISTURE WILL BE DRAWN INTO THE REGION AS 
SOUTHERLY WINDS STIFFEN IN ADVANCE OF THE TROUGH.

THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL TRACK TOWARD THE REGION 
OVERNIGHT AND BE LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STATE BY MORNING. 
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND SPREAD EAST 
TOWARD MORNING IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING AND STRENGTHENING 
STORM SYSTEM.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN AND 
CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...REACHING THE MISSOURI AND 
ILLINOIS BORDER BY THE END OF THE DAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT 
WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE STATE...REACHING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BY 
NIGHT FALL. 

RAIN IS LIKELY STATEWIDE ON TUESDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH.
THE LOW WILL BE A RELATIVELY SLOW MOVER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS 
POSSIBLE. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF TO JUST SHOWERS OVER THE 
WEST LATE TUESDAY. RAINFALL CHANCES WILL DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST 
TUESDAY NIGHT. WHILE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE...THE 
THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER IS MINIMAL WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER 
WESTERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE. MOISTURE WILL WRAP AROUND 
THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING LOW ON WEDNESDAY KEEPING AT LEAST A 
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTH.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH THAT 
THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL PRIMARILY AS RAIN. HOWEVER...COLDER AIR 
WILL SWEEP IN BEHIND THE FRONT ON WEDNESDAY AND THE PRECIPITATION 
MAY MIX WITH SNOW OVER THE NORTH EARLY WEDNESDAY BEFORE ENDING. 
LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

ANOTHER STROM SYSTEM WILL START TO BEAR DOWN ON THE REGION LATE NEXT 
WEEKEND. A LOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND TRAVEL ALONG THE GULF COAST 
LATE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY TO BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN TO TO THE 
AREA.     

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.

$$

56


73,
Glenn