[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

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FLUS44 KLZK 241000
HWOLIT
ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-251000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
459 AM CDT THU APR 24 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SLOWLY INTO 
EASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. THE SYSTEM 
WILL BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD ARKANSAS...WITH 
MOISTURE INCREASING AND THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZING AHEAD OF THE 
FRONT. LOW CLOUDS DURING THE MORNING HOURS ARE EXPECTED TO BREAK UP 
DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH HEATING HELPING TO PRIME THE ATMOSPHERE 
FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. 

IT APPEARS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN ARKANSAS DURING THE 
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY...AND WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING. AT 
THIS TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY...WITH 
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL EXPECTED. THE WINDS ALOFT WILL BE 
CHANGING DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT...CREATING A TURNING MOTION IN THE 
ATMOSPHERE. GIVEN THIS...TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 

OF COURSE...THE EXTENT OF THE SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE GREATLY 
DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF DAYTIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY THAT CAN 
OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY...THERE IS 
THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT OVER A LARGE 
PART OF ARKANSAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ARKANSAS ON MONDAY. THIS WILL 
BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL STALL 
ACROSS THE AREA AND THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS 
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
PERSONS ACROSS ARKANSAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST 
FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABOUT 
THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY.

$$

51


73,
Glenn