[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 11/20/2006 5:18:37 PM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 202218 CCA
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
411 PM EST MON NOV 20 2006

DEZ002>004-NJZ013-014-020>027-211200-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
411 PM EST MON NOV 20 2006

...LOW PRESSURE IN THE DEVELOPMENTAL STAGES OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. 
COAST...

THE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS IS GOING TO DEPEND ON THE
STRENGTH AND TRACK OF A DEVELOPING LOW OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST. AT THIS TIME HOWEVER, IT APPEARS AS THOUGH THERE WILL BE
SOME WIND AND TIDAL CONCERNS FOR PARTS OF THE NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE COASTS.

ONCE FORMED, THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY NORTHWARD 
FOR A GOOD PART OF THE WEEK. AS IT DOES, IT WILL INTERACT WITH A 
LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND. AS 
THE LOW MOVES CLOSER, NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE 
REGION. OUR LATEST FORECAST CALLS FOR INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS WHICH 
MAY REACH GALE FORCE STRENGTH, 39 MPH OR MORE, FOR THE COASTAL 
WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WEDNESDAY INTO FRIDAY. 

AT THIS TIME, IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A POWERFUL STORM WILL DEVELOP, 
BUT A PERSISTENT ONE ACCOMPANIED BY A LONG OCEAN FETCH SUPPORTING A 
PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AND RISING TIDES ESPECIALLY FROM MID WEEK 
INTO THE EARLY WEEKEND. 

WITH THAT SAID, TIDAL FLOODING AS A RESULT OF THE PERSISTENT WIND 
WILL BE A CONCERN ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS INCLUDING 
THE BACK BAYS. STORMS THAT MOVE THIS SLOWLY INCREASE THE WATER 
LEVELS IN THE BACK BAYS BEFORE BECOMING A CONCERN ON THE OCEAN 
FRONT. FROM AN ASTRONOMICAL STANDPOINT, THE TIDES ARE RUNNING A 
LITTLE BIT HIGHER THAN NORMAL AS A RESULT OF THE NEW MOON TODAY.

FOR PLANNING PURPOSES WHICH MAY MEAN MOVING YOUR CAR TO HIGHER 
GROUND, THE HIGHEST OF THE TWO DAILY TIDES ON THE OCEAN FRONT WILL 
OCCUR BETWEEN 8 AM AND 10 AM ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, AND POSSIBLY 
INTO FRIDAY. SO, ANY FLOODING WILL PROBABLY OCCUR AT THESE TIMES. 
MINOR TO POSSIBLY MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING COULD OCCUR BY THE END OF 
THE WEEK.

THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH ALONG THE COAST UNTIL THE 
WESTERLY WINDS IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE CARRY IT OUT TO SEA, BUT THAT 
MAY NOT BE UNTIL LATE SATURDAY.

AS ALWAYS, IF YOUR LIVE NEAR OR ALONG NEAR THE SHORE AREAS, IT WOULD 
BE BEST TO KEEP INFORMED ABOUT THIS UPCOMING STORM BY MONITORING 
FORECASTS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO PREPARE FOR 
THE EFFECTS OF WINDS AND WATER FOR YOUR PROPERTY.
 
 

$$

EBERWINE/IOVINO(COR FOR TYPO'S FIRST PARAGRAPH)