[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/3/2006 8:58:27 PM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 040157
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
857 PM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>027-PAZ070-071-041200-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
857 PM EST SUN DEC 3 2006
 
...THE FIRST SNOW FLAKES OF THE SEASON ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT AND
EARLY ON MONDAY MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS
AND WILL INTENSIFY RATHER QUICKLY AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY NORTHEAST,
PASSING NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AROUND MIDNIGHT AND EXPECTED TO BE
ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF ATLANTIC CITY AT SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING.
 
THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW 
WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHEASTERN PART OF OUR REGION TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. INITIALLY, IT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL
RAIN. HOWEVER, AS THE LOW BEGINS TO NEAR OUR LATITUDE, THE
CIRCULATION AROUND THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO DRAW COLD AIR DOWN
FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST LATE TONIGHT. ALSO THERE IS A RATHER
STRONG JET STREAM ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW. IT SHOULD ASSIST IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A HEAVIER BAND OF PRECIPITATION THAT WILL MOVE
OVER SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND BE CLOSE TO OR JUST OFF THE NEW JERSEY
COAST OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO COOL THE AIR
MASS SINCE IT TAKES HEAT PRESENT IN THE AIR TO MELT THE FALLING
SNOW. AS A RESULT OF BOTH ACTIONS, THE RAIN SHOULD MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO WET SNOW TOWARD MORNING.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO COME TO A QUICK END DURING THE 
MORNING. AS A RESULT, ANY PERIOD OF WET SNOW SHOULD BE SHORT
LIVED. NEVERTHELESS, THERE COULD BE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW
AT SOME LOCATIONS WITH THE BEST CHANCES JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST
IN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. THE GROUND REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM,
ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO VEHICLE TOPS AND
UNPAVED SURFACES.

$$

TFG