[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/3/2006 3:02:10 PM

n2qae at arrl.net n2qae at arrl.net
Sun Dec 3 15:02:11 EST 2006


WWUS81 KPHI 032001
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
301 PM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>027-PAZ070-071-040315-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNE'S-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
301 PM EST SUN DEC 3 2006

...THE FIRST SNOW FLAKES OF THE SEASON ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT AND 
EARLY ON MONDAY MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE IS DEVELOPING ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THE LOW 
WILL INTENSIFY RATHER QUICKLY AS IT MOVES RAPIDLY NORTHEAST,
PASSING NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND EXPECTED TO 
BE ABOUT 250 MILES EAST OF ATLANTIC CITY AT SUNRISE MONDAY 
MORNING.
 
THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW 
IS FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR REGION TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.  
INITIALLY, IT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL RAIN.  HOWEVER, AS THE LOW 
BEGINS TO NEAR OUR LATITUDE, THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE SYSTEM WILL 
BEGIN TO DRAW COLD AIR DOWN FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST LATE 
TONIGHT. ALSO THERE IS A RATHER STRONG JET STREAM ASSOCIATED WITH 
THIS LOW. IT SHOULD ASSIST IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A HEAVIER BAND OF 
PRECIPITATION THAT WILL BE CLOSE TO OR JUST OFF THE DELAWARE AND NEW 
JERSEY COASTS OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO COOL 
THE AIR MASS SINCE IT TAKES HEAT PRESENT IN THE AIR TO MELT THE 
FALLING SNOW. AS A RESULT OF BOTH ACTIONS, THE RAIN SHOULD MIX WITH 
OR CHANGE TO WET SNOW TOWARD MORNING.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO COME TO A QUICK END DURING THE 
MORNING. AS A RESULT, ANY PERIOD OF WET SNOW SHOULD BE SHORT
LIVED. NEVERTHELESS, THERE COULD BE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF SNOW
AT SOME LOCATIONS WITH THE BEST CHANCES JUST INLAND FROM THE COAST
IN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. THE GROUND REMAINS RELATIVELY WARM,
ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO VEHICLE TOPS AND
UNPAVED SURFACES.


$$

GIGI/MIKETTA







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