[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 8/30/2005 11:50:00 AM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 301549
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1144 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

DEZ002>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>014-016-020>024-
026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-302135-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-CAPE MAY NJ-
CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONROE PA-
MORRIS NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-OCEAN NJ-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-
SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-WARREN NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...DOVER...
NEW BRUNSWICK...PERTH AMBOY...READING AND VINELAND
1144 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
WEDNESDAY...

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL OVERSPREAD THE 
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE WESTERN 
ATLANTIC THAT HAS HELPED TO MINIMIZE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL LOSE ITS INFLUENCE. THUS MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE SO FAR THIS MONTH, AND NOT MUCH 
RAIN HAS FELL THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE 
NEXT TWO DAYS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH WITH 
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO TO FOUR INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE 
POSSIBLE IF THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA TRACK CLOSER TO OUR REGION. 
THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FLOODING IS IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
AS WELL AS THE SMALLER MORE FLASHIER STREAMS. MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE
RUNNING PRETTY LOW AND THE AREA RESERVOIRS ARE NOT FULL AND CAN HOLD
BACK UPSTREAM RUNOFF.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MAY BECOME STRONG AND
POSSIBLY PRODUCE BRIEF...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
THAT IS WHY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION IN THE 
EASTERNMOST PART OF THEIR SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES IS 
FARTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 

ON WEDNESDAY THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL INTERACT WITH A COLD FRONT 
CURRENTLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL GIVE US A SECOND SHOT AT 
SEVERE WEATHER DURING THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY IF MORE SUNSHINE 
OCCURS. THE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL BE VERY HUMID AND THE ADDED SUN 
COULD BOOST HIGH TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. THE COMBINATION
WILL NOT ONLY MAKE FOR A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE DAY, BUT WOULD ALSO FUEL
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THUS
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF OUR AREA IN A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS ON
WEDNESDAY SHOULD MOVE FASTER THAN TODAY. THIS WOULD REDUCE THE THREAT
FOR FLOODING. BUT HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS TODAY WILL HAVE A BEARING ON
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR WEDNESDAY. 
   
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN WILL END WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE REGION. 

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT WILL BE QUITE WARM IF NOT
DOWNRIGHT HOT ON WEDNESDAY. PLEASE DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND MAKE
SURE THE ELDERLY AND VERY YOUNG ARE KEPT AS COOL AS POSSIBLE. PLEASE
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER AND OR FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS
LATER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. IF YOU SEE THREATENING WEATHER, SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES OR ON
FLOODED ROADWAYS. 


$$

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-302142-
BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CHESTER PA-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-MERCER NJ-
MONTGOMERY PA-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMDEN...NEWARK...PHILADELPHIA...
TRENTON AND WILMINGTON
1144 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND
WEDNESDAY...

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL OVERSPREAD THE 
REGION THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE WESTERN 
ATLANTIC THAT HAS HELPED TO MINIMIZE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
WILL LOSE ITS INFLUENCE. THUS MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS

ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE SO FAR THIS MONTH, AND NOT MUCH 
RAIN HAS FELL THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE 
NEXT TWO DAYS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH WITH 
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO TO FOUR INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE 
POSSIBLE IF THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA TRACK CLOSER TO OUR REGION. 
THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FLOODING IS IN URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
AS WELL AS THE SMALLER MORE FLASHIER STREAMS. MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE
RUNNING PRETTY LOW AND THE AREA RESERVOIRS ARE NOT FULL AND CAN HOLD
BACK UPSTREAM RUNOFF.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MAY BECOME STRONG AND
POSSIBLY PRODUCE BRIEF...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
THAT IS WHY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION IN THE 
EASTERNMOST PART OF THEIR SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES IS 
FARTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 

ON WEDNESDAY THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL INTERACT WITH A COLD FRONT 
CURRENTLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL GIVE US A SECOND SHOT AT 
SEVERE WEATHER DURING THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY IF MORE SUNSHINE 
OCCURS. THE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL BE VERY HUMID AND THE ADDED SUN 
COULD BOOST HIGH TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. THE COMBINATION
WILL NOT ONLY MAKE FOR A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE DAY, BUT WOULD ALSO FUEL
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THUS
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF OUR AREA IN A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS ON
WEDNESDAY SHOULD MOVE FASTER THAN TODAY. THIS WOULD REDUCE THE THREAT
FOR FLOODING. BUT HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS TODAY WILL HAVE A BEARING ON
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR WEDNESDAY. 
   
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN WILL END WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE REGION. 

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT WILL BE QUITE HOT ON WEDNESDAY 
WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES IN URBANIZED AREAS. PLEASE
DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND MAKE SURE THE ELDERLY AND VERY YOUNG ARE
KEPT AS COOL AS POSSIBLE. PLEASE LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER
AND OR FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS LATER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. IF YOU
SEE THREATENING WEATHER, SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER 
DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES OR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

 
 

 

$$
EBERWINE

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