[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 8/30/2005 4:31:38 AM

[n2qae at arrl.net]

WWUS81 KPHI 300830 CCA
SPSPHI

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTION FOR CONTRIBUTORS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
423 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-301600-
BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CHESTER PA-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-MERCER NJ-
MONTGOMERY PA-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-
PHILADELPHIA PA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMDEN...NEWARK...PHILADELPHIA...
TRENTON AND WILMINGTON
423 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL OVERSPREAD THE 
REGION TODAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC 
THAT HAS HELPED TO MINIMIZE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LOSE 
ITS INFLUENCE. THUS MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE SO FAR THIS MONTH, AND NOT MUCH 
RAIN HAS FELL THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE 
NEXT TWO DAYS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH WITH 
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO TO FOUR INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE 
POSSIBLE IF THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA TRACK FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST 
THAN IS CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FLOODING IS IN 
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS THE SMALLER MORE FLASHIER 
STREAMS. MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE RUNNING PRETTY LOW AND THE AREA 
RESERVOIRS ARE NOT FULL AND CAN HOLD BACK UPSTREAM RUNOFF.

AN ADDED COMPLICATION TO OUR WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL 
BE THE CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION AND INCREASE IN SPEED WITH HEIGHT. 
THIS SHEAR WILL PERMIT THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONG AND POSSIBLY 
PRODUCE BRIEF...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THAT IS 
WHY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION IN THE 
EASTERNMOST PART OF THEIR SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR TODAY. 
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES IS FARTHER TO 
THE SOUTHWEST OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 

ON WEDNESDAY THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL INTERACT WITH A COLD FRONT 
CURRENTLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL GIVE US A SECOND SHOT AT 
SEVERE WEATHER DURING THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY IF MORE SUNSHINE 
OCCURS. THE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL BE VERY HUMID AND THE ADDED SUN 
COULD BOOST HIGH TEMPERATURES TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. THE COMBINATION
WILL NOT ONLY MAKE FOR A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE DAY, BUT WOULD ALSO FUEL
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THUS
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF OUR AREA IN A SLIGHT
RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS ON
WEDNESDAY SHOULD MOVE FASTER THAN TODAY. THIS WOULD REDUCE THE THREAT
FOR FLOODING. BUT HOW MUCH RAIN FALLS TODAY WILL HAVE A BEARING ON
THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR WEDNESDAY. 
   
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN WILL END WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE REGION. 

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT WILL BE QUITE HOT ON WEDNESDAY 
WITH HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 100 DEGREES IN URBANIZED AREAS. PLEASE
DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND MAKE SURE THE ELDERLY AND VERY YOUNG ARE
KEPT AS COOL AS POSSIBLE. PLEASE LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER
AND OR FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS LATER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. IF YOU
SEE THREATENING WEATHER, SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER 
DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES OR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>014-016-020>024-
026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-301600-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-CAPE MAY NJ-
CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONROE PA-
MORRIS NJ-NORTHAMPTON PA-OCEAN NJ-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-
SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-WARREN NJ-
WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...DOVER...
NEW BRUNSWICK...PERTH AMBOY...READING AND VINELAND
423 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL OVERSPREAD THE 
REGION TODAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE WESTERN ATLANTIC 
THAT HAS HELPED TO MINIMIZE THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LOSE 
ITS INFLUENCE. THUS MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN ON THE DRY SIDE SO FAR THIS MONTH, AND NOT MUCH 
RAIN HAS FELL THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THE RAIN EXPECTED OVER THE 
NEXT TWO DAYS SHOULD AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH WITH 
LOCALIZED AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS TWO TO FOUR INCHES. HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE 
POSSIBLE IF THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA TRACK FARTHER TO THE SOUTHEAST 
THAN IS CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FLOODING IS IN 
URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS THE SMALLER MORE FLASHIER 
STREAMS. MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE RUNNING PRETTY LOW AND THE AREA 
RESERVOIRS ARE NOT FULL AND CAN HOLD BACK UPSTREAM RUNOFF.

AN ADDED COMPLICATION TO OUR WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL 
BE THE CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION AND INCREASE IN SPEED WITH HEIGHT. 
THIS SHEAR WILL PERMIT THUNDERSTORMS TO BECOME STRONG AND POSSIBLY 
PRODUCE BRIEF...DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THAT IS 
WHY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE REGION IN THE 
EASTERNMOST PART OF THEIR SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER FOR TODAY. 
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND TORNADOES IS FARTHER TO 
THE SOUTHWEST OVER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 

ON WEDNESDAY THE REMNANTS OF KATRINA WILL INTERACT WITH A COLD FRONT 
CURRENTLY OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL GIVE US A SECOND SHOT AT 
SEVERE WEATHER DURING THE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY IF MORE SUNSHINE 
OCCURS. THE AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL BE VERY HUMID. THE ADDED SUN 
WILL ALSO INCREASE HIGH TEMPERATURES WHICH MAY REACH 90 DEGREES
ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN. THE COMBINATION WILL NOT ONLY MAKE FOR A
VERY UNCOMFORTABLE DAY, BUT WOULD ALSO FUEL THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
COLD FRONT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE WITH
SOME ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. THUS THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER
HAS PLACED MOST OF OUR AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER AGAIN
ON WEDNESDAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD MOVE FASTER THAN
TODAY. THIS WOULD REDUCE THE THREAT FOR FLOODING. BUT HOW MUCH RAIN
FALLS TODAY WILL HAVE A BEARING ON THE FLOOD POTENTIAL FOR
WEDNESDAY.
   
THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN WILL END WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE REGION. 

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL 
WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY. IT WILL BE QUITE WARM IF NOT
DOWNRIGHT HOT ON WEDNESDAY. PLEASE DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS AND MAKE
SURE THE ELDERLY AND VERY YOUNG ARE KEPT AS COOL AS POSSIBLE. PLEASE
LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER AND OR FLOOD WATCHES OR WARNINGS
LATER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. IF YOU SEE THREATENING WEATHER, SEEK
SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND NEVER DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES OR ON
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

$$

GIGI/KRUZDLO/DANGELO

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