[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 1/23/2004 10:03:47 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 231504
SPSPHI
WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1004 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2004

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-232200-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
1004 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2004


...LIGHT SNOW OVER SOME AREAS TONIGHT...A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR SNOW 
AND MIXED PRECIPITATION LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...

TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON MAY NOT REACH 10 DEGREES IN THE SOUTHERN 
POCONOS WHILE STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE 20S EVEN DOWN BY THE 
DELAWARE BEACHES. WITH THE COLD AIR IN PLACE, A WEAK DISTURBANCE 
WILL TAKE A SIMILAR PATH AS MOST OF OUR SNOW MAKERS HAVE THIS 
SEASON. MOSTLY STARTING OUT IN CANADA AND GETTING CAUGHT UP IN THE 
VERY FAST NORTHWEST FLOW TO MAKE AN APPEARANCE OVER OUR REGION 
BEFORE MOVING OUT TO SEA. THIS LOW WILL SPEND A SHORT TIME IN OUR 
VICINITY BUT LONG ENOUGH TO BRING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW AND 
FLURRIES. 

GIVEN THE TRACK AND THE SPEED OF THE LOW, WE ANTICIPATE SNOW TO 
BEGIN SOMETIME AROUND MIDNIGHT OVER THE CHESAPEAKE BAY, SPREADING 
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION. SOME AREAS 
ARE LIKELY TO SEE ABOUT AN INCH OF SNOW OVER SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, 
NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND NORTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. 
FOR AREAS TO THE NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA, LESS THAN AN INCH OR EVEN A 
PERIOD OF FLURRIES IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER SOUTH OF 
DOVER DELAWARE THERE COULD BE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE END 
RESULT WILL BE A POWDERY LIGHT SNOW THAT MAY BE SLICK ON THE ROADS. 

ONCE THE LIGHT SNOW ENDS ON SATURDAY, WE TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A 
SITUATION THAT BEARS WATCHING. THIS EVENT IS SIMILAR TO LAST SUNDAYS 
IN THAT VERY COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE, AS LOW PRESSURE FORMS 
OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS 
STORM WILL HAVE AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE COMPLIMENTS OF THE GULF OF 
MEXICO AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST. THE MOISTURE WILL BE DEPOSITED OVER 
THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW MUCH SNOW, OR 
A WINTRY MIX WILL AFFECT THE AREA. AS OF NOW, WE EXPECT TO SEE A 
CHANCE OF SNOW SUNDAY BECOMING MORE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, 
HOWEVER THERE WILL BE A PERIOD WHEN THE SNOW TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING 
RAIN, SLEET AND POSSIBLY ALL RAIN. 
 
THE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH A LARGE AREA 
SEEING A MIXTURE FROM SNOW TO RAIN BY MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER, 
COLDER AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA AS A FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT 
AND TURNS THE ROADS ICY FOR WALKING AND DRIVING. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR 
FURTHER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON THE DEVELOPING WINTRY 
PRECIPITATION.  
$$

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI (IN LOWER CASE).

GORSE/THOMAS

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