[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 1/23/2004 4:42:36 AM

PHI Skywarn [email protected]
Fri, 23 Jan 2004 04:42:37 -0500


WWUS81 KPHI 230941
SPSPHI

WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
439 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2004

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-0
60>062-067>071-231509-
ATLANTIC NJ-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY NJ-BERKS PA-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-
CAPE MAY NJ-CARBON PA-CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
COASTAL ATLANTIC NJ-COASTAL OCEAN NJ-CUMBERLAND NJ-DELAWARE PA-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-
INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT MD-KENT DE-LEHIGH PA-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-
MONROE PA-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHAMPTON PA-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-SUSSEX NJ-TALBOT MD-
WARREN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
439 AM EST FRI JAN 23 2004


.LIGHT SNOW OVER SOME AREAS TONIGHT...A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR SNOW
AND MIXED PRECIPITATION LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...

ANOTHER BREATH-TAKING ARCTIC BLAST HAS SWEPT ACROSS THE REGION
OVERNIGHT FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. THE FRONT IS WELL
OFFSHORE BUT THE STRONG WINDS HAVE REINFORCED THE COLD AIR WHICH HAS
BEEN WITH US SINCE THE 9TH OF JANUARY. TEMPERATURES TODAY MAY NOT
REACH 10 DEGREES IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS WHILE STRUGGLING TO GET OUT
OF THE 20S EVEN DOWN BY THE DEALWARE BEACHES. WITH THE COLD AIR IN
PLACE...A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL TAKE A SIMILAR PATH AS MOST OF OUR
SNOW MAKERS THIS SEASON...STARTING OUT IN CANADA AND GETTING CAUGHT
UP IN THE VERY FAST NORTHWEST FLOW TO MAKE AN APPEARANCE OVER THIS
REGION BEFORE MOVING OUT TO SEA. THIS LOW WILL SPEND A SHORT TIME IN
OUR VICINITY BUT STILL LONG ENOUGH TO BRING A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW
AND FLURRIES. 

GIVEN THE TRACK AND THE SPEED OF THE LOW...WE ANTICIPATE
SNOW TO BEGIN SOMETIME AROUND MIDNIGHT OVER THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY...SPREADING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
REGION. SOME AREAS ARE LIKELY TO SEE ABOUT AN INCH OF SNOW OVER
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND NORTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. FOR AREAS TO THE NORTH OF PHILADELHPIA LESS THAN
THAT OR EVEN JUST A PERIOD OF FLURRIES. BUT SOUTH OF DOVER DELAWARE
THERE COULD BE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE END RESULT WILL BE A
POWDERY LIGHT SNOW THAT MAY BE SLICK ON THE ROADS BUT EASILY CLEANED
OFF CARS AND HIGHWAYS IF THERE IS ANY WIND BLOWING. 

ONCE THAT LIGHT SNOW ENDS ON SATURDAY...WE TURN OUR ATTENTION TO A
SITUATION THAT WILL BEAR WATCHING. THIS EVENT IS SIMILAR TO LAST
SUNDAYS IN THAT VERY COLD AIR WILL BE IN PLACE...WHILE LOW PRESSURE
FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS
STORM WILL ALREADY BE DEVELOPED BEFORE REACHING US...WHICH MEANS IT
WILL HAVE AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE COMPLIMENTS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THE MOISTURE WILL BE DEPOSITED OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND
THE BIG QUESTION IS HOW MUCH SNOW...OR A WINTRY MIX WILL AFFECT THE
AREA. AS OF NOW...WE EXPECT TO SEE A CHANCE OF SNOW SUNDAY...BECOMING
MORE LIKELY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY BUT THERE WILL BE A PERIOD WHEN
THE SNOW TRANSITIONS TO FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND POSSIBLY ALL RAIN. 
 
THE TEMPERATURE IS GOING TO WARM UP FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH A LARGE
AREA SEEING A MIXTURE FROM SNOW TO RAIN BY MONDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...MORE COLD AIR RETURNS TO THE AREA AS THE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH AT NIGHT AND TURNS THE ROADS ICY AND PROBLEMATIC FOR WALKING
AND DRIVING SIMILAR TO WHAT OCCURED THIS PAST WEEKEND. 

STAY TUNED FOR FORECAST AND STATEMENTS ISSUED LATER TODAY.  
$$

EBERWINE/GIGI