[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 5/16/2003 10:41:36 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 161448
CFWPHI
DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-162100-

COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1050 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2003

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE HIGH TIDE THIS 
EVENING ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND IN THE ADJACENT 
BACK BAYS AND INLETS INCLUDING RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE BAY....

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS CONTINUED THE  
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN DELAWARE...
  KENT AND SUSSEX.

IN NEW JERSEY...
  CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC...OCEAN...MONMOUTH...MIDDLESEX...CUMBERLAND AND
  SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING SOUTH FROM NEW ENGLAND...A SERIES OF 
WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC 
COAST...AND UNUSUALLY HIGH SPRING TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH LAST NIGHT'S 
FULL MOON...MAY ALL COMBINE TO PRODUCE SOME MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING 
WITH THE HIGH TIDES THIS EVENING. 

FAIRLY WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH SOME AREAS OF MODERATE 
TIDAL FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WITH THE EVENING HIGH TIDE. THIS 
WILL BE THE THIRD TIDE CYCLE WITH ONSHORE FLOW...AND WILL ALSO BE 
THE HIGHER OF THE TWO HIGH TIDES FOR THE DAY. ANY HEAVY RAIN...AS 
WELL AS ANY LARGE WAVES BREAKING ONTO THE SHORE...WOULD EXACERBATE 
THE COASTAL FLOOD THREAT BY THIS EVENING.

BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. 
MANY COASTAL AREAS ARE VULNERABLE TO FURTHER EROSION...DUE TO THE 
SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS THAT HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED THIS PAST 
WINTER AND EARLY SPRING. 

THE FINAL WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL NOT PUSH EAST OF THE COAST 
UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PROLONG THE ONSHORE WINDFLOW. IT 
THEREFORE MAY BECOME NECESSARY TO EXTEND THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT 
INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF BACK BAYS ARE UNABLE TO DRAIN.

HIGH TIDES THIS EVENING ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST WILL OCCUR 
BETWEEN 830 PM AND 930 PM...AND ALONG THE DELAWARE COAST BETWEEN 845 
PM AND 1000 PM. TIDES IN THE BACK BAYS USUALLY OCCUR A BIT LATER 
THAN ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT. TIDAL DEPARTURES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE 
ASTRONOMICAL LEVELS ARE EXPECTED...WHICH WOULD PUSH THE TIDES TO 
BETWEEN 7 AND 8 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER THIS EVENING.

CONTINUE TO MAKE ANY NECESSARY PREPARATIONS. SOME FLOOD PRONE 
ROADWAYS MAY BE CLOSED DURING THE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING. PLEASE DO 
NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES.

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AROUND
7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. IF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS 
IMMINENT...THEN A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET 
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI.

$$

KRAUS

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