[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 5/16/2003 4:35:13 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 160841
CFWPHI
DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-161500-

COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
440 AM EDT FRI MAY 16 2003

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE HIGH TIDE THIS 
EVENING - THIS INCLUDES THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTLINES - 
THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS - RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE BAY....

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ MAINTAINS A COASTAL 
FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN DELAWARE...
  KENT AND SUSSEX.

IN NEW JERSEY...
  CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC...OCEAN...MONMOUTH...MIDDLESEX...CUMBERLAND AND
  SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTIES.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING DOWN FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE MID 
ATLANTIC COAST...AND UNUSUALLY HIGH SPRING TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE 
FULL MOON MAY ALL COMBINE TO PRODUCE SOME MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING 
WITH THE HIGH TIDES THIS EVENING. 

FAIRLY WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH SOME AREAS OF MODERATE 
TIDAL FLOODING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WITH THE EVENING HIGH TIDE. THIS 
WILL BE THE THIRD TIDE CYCLE WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND WILL ALSO BE THE 
HIGHER OF THE TWO HIGH TIDES FOR THE DAY. SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING 
IS POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGH TIDES THIS MORNING. ANY HEAVY RAIN AS WELL 
AS ANY LARGE WAVES BREAKING ONTO THE SHORE WOULD EXACERBATE THE 
COASTAL FLOOD THREAT BY THIS EVENING.

SOME BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY AT THE TIMES OF HIGH 
TIDE. MANY COASTAL AREAS ARE VULNERABLE TO FURTHER EROSION DUE TO 
THE SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS THAT HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED THIS 
PAST WINTER AND EARLY SPRING. 

THE FINAL WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL NOT RECEDE EAST OF THE COAST 
UNTIL SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PROLONG THE ONSHORE FLOW. IT 
THRERFORE MAY BECOME NECESSARY TO EXTEND THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT 
INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF BACK BAYS ARE UNABLE TO DRAIN.

THE FOLLOWING FORECAST HIGH TIDES ARE ALL REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER 
LOW WATER. HIGH TIDES IN THE BACK BAYS USUALLY OCCUR LATER THAN THE 
OCEAN FRONT.

FOR SANDY HOOK ON THE RARITAN BAY...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
838 THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN AND 6.0 AND 6.5 
FEET...AND 901 THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 
FEET.
 
FOR SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR 
AT 808 THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 5.5 AND 
6.0 FEET...AND 831 THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 
7.0 FEET. 
 
FOR ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
813 THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 5.0 FEET...
AND 837 THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 6.5 AND 
7.0 FEET. 

FOR CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
845 THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.0 FEET...
AND 908 THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT AROUND 7.5 FEET.

FOR BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
927 THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 5.0 FEET...
AND 949 THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 6.5 AND 
7.0 FEET.

FOR FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN FRONT...HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
824 THIS MORNING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 5.0 FEET...
AND 847 THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 6.0 AND 
6.5 FEET.

CONTINUE TO MAKE ANY NECESSARY PREPARATIONS. PLEASE DO NOT DRIVE 
AROUND BARRICADES. SOME FLOOD PRONE ROADWAYS MAY WELL BE CLOSED 
DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES...ESPECIALLY WITH THE HIGH TIDE THIS 
EVENING. 

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AROUND
7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. IF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS 
IMMINENT...THEN A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS.

$$
MPD
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