[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Coastal Flood Warning : PHI@ 5/15/2003 3:42:49 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WHUS41 KPHI 151948
CFWPHI
DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-160300-

COASTAL FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
350 PM EDT THU MAY 15 2003

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE HIGH TIDE FRIDAY 
EVENING - THIS INCLUDES THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTLINES - THE 
ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS - RARITAN BAY AND DELAWARE 
BAY...
...THE WORST EXPECTED TIDAL FLOODING SHOULD OCCUR WITH THE 
FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE - BUT THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED POCKETS 
OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING... 
...THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED INTO SATURDAY... 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ MAINTAINS A COASTAL 
FLOOD WATCH FOR FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN DELAWARE...
  KENT AND SUSSEX.

IN NEW JERSEY...
  CAPE MAY...ATLANTIC...OCEAN...MONMOUTH...MIDDLESEX...CUMBERLAND AND
  SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTIES.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING DOWN FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...AND 
UNUSUALLY HIGH SPRING TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE FULL MOON MAY ALL 
COMBINE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH THE 
HIGH TIDES FRIDAY EVENING. 

FAIRLY WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING PRESENTLY IS FORECAST TO 
OCCUR WITH THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. THIS WILL BE THE THIRD TIDE 
CYCLE WITH ONSHORE FLOW AND WILL ALSO BE THE HIGHER OF THE TWO HIGH 
TIDES FOR THE DAY. SOME ISOLATED MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AND WITH 
AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ARE ANTICIPATED WITH THE HIGH TIDES 
THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY MORNING. COMPLICATING MATTERS WILL BE THE 
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN ON FRIDAY AS WELL AS LARGE WAVES BREAKING 
ONTO THE SHORE.

BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AT THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. MANY 
COASTAL AREAS ARE VULNERABLE TO FURTHER EROSION DUE TO THE SERIES OF 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS THAT HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED THIS PAST WINTER AND 
EARLY SPRING. 

LATEST COMPUTER MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
COULD LINGER EAST OF THE DELMARVA COASTAL WATERS ON SATURDAY... 
PROLONGING THE ONSHORE FLOW. IT MAY BECOME NECESSARY TO EXTEND THE 
COASTAL FLOODING THREAT INTO SATURDAY WITH LATER FORECASTS. 
 
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTED HIGH TIDES ARE ALL ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER. HIGH TIDES IN THE BACK BAYS USUALLY OCCUR LATER THAN THE 
OCEAN FRONT.

FOR SANDY HOOK ON THE RARITAN BAY...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
812 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 FEET...
838 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET 
AND 901 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 8.0 AND 
8.5 FEET.
 
FOR SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR 
AT 742 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.0 FEET...
808 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET 
AND 831 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 7.5 AND 
8.0 FEET.
 
FOR ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
747 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.5 FEET...
813 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 6.0 AND 6.5 FEET 
AND 837 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 FEET.

FOR CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
819 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 FEET...
845 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.0 FEET AND 908 PM 
FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 8.0 AND 8.5 FEET.

FOR BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
858 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.5 FEET...
927 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF BETWEEN 6.0 AND 6.5 FEET 
AND 949 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.5 FEET.

FOR FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN FRONT...THE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AT 
758 PM THIS EVENING WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.0 FEET...
824 AM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 6.0 FEET AND 
847 PM FRIDAY WITH AN EXPECTED HEIGHT OF AROUND 7.0 FEET.

CONTINUE TO MAKE THE NECESSARY PREPARATIONS. PLEASE DO NOT DRIVE 
AROUND BARRICADES. SOME FLOOD PRONE ROADWAYS MAY WELL BE CLOSED 
DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES STARTING WITH THE HIGH TIDE THIS 
EVENING.   

REMEMBER...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE...BUT NOT IMMINENT. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AROUND
7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. IF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS 
IMMINENT...THEN A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR YOUR CABLE TELEVISION OUTLET FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR
UPDATES. ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET
AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI IN SMALL LETTERS.

$$
GIGI/KRAUS




 
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