[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/23/2002 3:26:38 AM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 230823
SPSPHI
DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-260000-

WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
308 AM EST MON DEC 23 2002


...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT AND CHRISTMAS 
DAY...

LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE 
TODAY AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST. THE LOW SHOULD REDEVELOP EAST OF THE 
VIRGINIA CAPES ON CHRISTMAS. THIS SECONDARY LOW WILL THEN INTENSIFY 
AS IT HEADS NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY.

THE TRACK OF THE SECONDARY LOW WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH SNOW WILL 
FALL AND WHERE THE DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN RAIN AND SNOW IS LOCATED. 
CURRENT EXPECTATIONS ARE FOR THE RAIN VERSUS SNOW LINE TO BE LOCATED 
CLOSE TO THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA. 

RAIN AND SNOW SHOULD BEGIN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH 
CHRISTMAS DAY.

OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND OVER 
NORTHEAST MARYLAND...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL 
IN THE FORM OF RAIN. 

HOWEVER...EVEN IN AREAS WHERE RAIN IS FORECAST...COLDER AIR COULD BE 
DRAWN SOUTH ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEVELOPING LOW ALLOWING ANY RAIN 
TO HAVE A CHANCE OF CHANGING TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT 
SNOWFALL WILL BE TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA. TRAVEL ON 
CHRISTMAS COULD BE IMPACTED BY SNOW IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA... 
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...AND OVER NORTHERN DELAWARE AND 
EXTREME NORTHEAST MARYLAND. 

DETAILS ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION WILL BE REFINED AS THE 
EVENT DRAWS CLOSER. STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON NOAA 
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS. YOU CAN 
ALSO ACCESS THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS AND 
STATEMENTS ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI...ALL LOWER CASE.

$$

RNS/KRUZDLO

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