[MTHOLLYSVRWX] Special Weather Statement : PHI@ 12/22/2002 3:40:47 PM

[PHI Skywarn]

WWUS81 KPHI 222037
SPSPHI
DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ007>010-012-013-015>020-027-PAZ060>062-067>071-
260000-

WINTER STORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
337 PM EST SUN DEC 22 2002


..SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND CHRISTMAS   
DAY...

LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES IS 
EXPECTED TO BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC AREA TUESDAY 
NIGHT AND CHRISTMAS DAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH 
CAROLINA COAST CHRISTMAS MORNING...THEN INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTHEAST 
OUT TO SEA.

AS WITH MANY EAST COAST STORMS...THE EXACT TRACK WILL DETERMINE THE 
AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL AND THE AREAS THAT RECEIVE THE SNOW.  IN THIS 
PARTICULAR STORM...IT DOES APPEAR THAT RELATIVELY MILD AIR WILL BE 
DRAWN INTO THE STORMS CIRCULATION...MEANING THAT AT LEAST SOME RAIN 
IS A REAL POSSIBLIITY OVER SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...CENTRAL OR 
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN DELAWARE...OR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT
SNOWFALL WILL BE IN THE LEHIGH VALLEY OF PENNSYLVANIA AND THE
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF WARREN AND MORRIS. THE ADJACENT
COUNTIES JUST TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL ALSO HAVE THE POSSIBILITY
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...BUT THERE WILL ALSO BE THE CHANCE FOR
RAIN TO MIX WITH THE SNOW AT TIMES.

FARTHER SOUTHEAST...IN THE PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES OF PHILADELPHIA
AND DELAWARE...THE NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF SALEM...GLOUCESTER...
CAMDEN...BURLINGTON...INLAND OCEAN...AND INLAND MONMOUTH...THE 
DELAWARE COUNTY OF NEW CASTLE...AND THE MARYLAND COUNTY OF
CECIL...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL REMAINS A POSSIBILITY BUT IS LESS 
LIKELY SINCE THE PRECIPITATION MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN.

DETAILS ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION WILL BE REFINED AS
THE EVENT DRAWS CLOSER.  STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION 
ON NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATIONS.
YOU CAN ALSO ACCESS THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS
AND STATEMENTS ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/PHI...ALL
LOWER CASE.

$$

RPW/JWH/MD/BG/HW


WWWW