[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 6/23/2003 4:25:54 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 230916
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
416 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2003

MCS DEVELOPED ABOUT WHERE EXPECTED BUT HAS REMAINED NEARLY
STATIONARY OVERNIGHT. SEE NO REASON WHY WITH WILL MOVE AND OTHER
THAN CLOUDS TODAY WILL BE DRY WITH RISING DEW POINTS. FAR WEST PART
OF THE CWFA MAY SEE THE CAP WEAKEN ENOUGH TO ALLOW SOME TSRA TO
DEVELOP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.

TONIGHT NEXT MCS SHOULD FIRE ALONG THE CAP ALONG THE +12 TO +13 H7
ISOTHERM. MCS SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND MOVE EAST
NORTHEAST. FAR NORTHERN THIRD OF CWFA MAY GET BRUSHED IF CONVECTION
PUSHES SOUTH ON ANY COLD POOL. TUESDAY TO BE UGLY WITH A CAPPED
ATMOSPHERE AND DEW POINTS IN THE 70S. CLOSE BUT NOT QUITE ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR HEAT AS COMPUTED INDICES TO BE IN THE 100 TO 105
RANGE. HAVE HIGHLIGHTED THIS IN ZONES. MOST OF CWFA TO REMAIN CAPPED
TUESDAY NIGHT EXCEPT FOR NORTH THIRD WHICH MAY GET BRUSHED AGAIN BY
AN MCS.

DIDN/T PLAY WITH EXTENDED DUE TO LACK OF TIME. MODELS STILL PROG
FRONT TO STAGGER INTO CWFA IN THE WED/THU TIME PERIOD.

DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$

SF