[LeArc] HWODVN@ 8/1/2003 4:49:34 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FLUS43 KDVN 010946
HWODVN
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-020930-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
445 AM CDT FRI AUG 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN IOWA...
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL INTERACT WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING 
THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE 
FORECAST TO AGAIN DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT WIND SHEAR THAT 
MAY ALLOW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP.

IF SEVERE STORMS DEVELOP...THE MAIN THREAT WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND 
DAMAGING WINDS...AND THE MOST LIKELY TIME PERIOD WOULD BE 4 PM TO 
MIDNIGHT. CURRENTLY THE AREA MOST AT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS 
TO BE EAST OF A LINE FROM MEMPHIS MISSOURI TO FREEPORT ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION 
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. DISTURBANCES ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER 
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING 
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO A LACK OF WIND SHEAR. 
HOWEVER IF STORMS BECOME SUFFICIENTLY STRONG...SMALL HAIL IS 
POSSIBLE DUE TO COLD AIR ALOFT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR 
AREAS EAST OF A MEMPHIS TO FREEPORT LINE.

$$

SF