[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 4/27/2003 9:50:25 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 280249
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
940 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2003
 
WAITING FOR CONVECTION IN THE PLAINS TO SHOW IT/S HAND. SATELLITE AND
VARIOUS PARAMETERS POINT TOWARD GENESIS REGION BEING VICINITY
OF SOUTHWEST IA/SOUTHEAST NE/NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO. DECENT CAPPING
INVERSION ABOVE H85 HELPING TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION FOR THE 
TIME BEING. HOWEVER...APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FROM WESTERN KS AND LLJ
SHOULD AID IN ERODING CAP WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS 
MOST LIKELY DEVELOPING IN 05Z-07Z TIMEFRAME. ACTIVITY COULD FORM SMALL
MCS AND PROPAGATE E/SE ALONG INSTABILITY AXIS ON NOSE OF LLJ.
THIS COULD POSSIBLY GRAZE THE FAR SOUTH VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO MON 
MORNING. NORTH OF I-80...DON/T SEE MUCH FOCUS FOR PCPN DURING 
SAME TIMEFRAME WITH WEAK FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND LIMITED MOISTURE AND 
LEANING TOWARD REMOVING POPS OR SCALING BACK TO JUST MENTION OF SPRINKLES 
WITH 00Z DVN SOUNDING SHOWING PLENTY OF DRY AIR TO OVERCOME. CLOUDS SLOWER TO 
INCREASE AND WITH WINDS DECOUPLING MAY NEED TO CUT BACK MINS BY A CAT OR SO.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

$$