[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 9/7/02 1:28:24 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 070633
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
133 AM CDT SAT SEP 7 2002

BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. MODELS
CONSISTENT IN KEEPING UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND SUNDAY.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LITTLE IF ANY CLOUDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
EARLY MORNING PATCHY FOG STILL A QUESTION AS DRIER AIR HAS BEEN
ADVECTING IN DURING THE NIGHT. WILL MONITOR TRENDS AND MAKE A LAST
MINUTE DECISION. SATELLITE TRENDS FROM THE DAYTIME FRIDAY GIVE STRONG
ARGUMENTS FOR FULL SUN DURING THE DAY AND LITTLE IF ANY CLOUDS AT NIGHT.
CAVEAT IS THE INFLUX OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE LATE TONIGHT. THIS ALONG
WITH LIGHT WINDS MAY BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT...
ALBEIT PATCHY. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FLUX DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY TO
ALLOW FAIR WX CU TO DEVELOP. QUIET WX CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH
ANOTHER CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG WITH LIGHT WINDS.

FWC/MAV GUIDANCE AGAIN PRETTY CLOSE WITH MAV WARMER ON MINS.
TRAJECTORY METHOD SUPPORTS UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...ROUGHLY IN LINE
WITH GUIDANCE. PERSISTENCE ROUGHLY ARGUES FOR THE SAME AS WELL.

NO CHANGES TO EXTENDED.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

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