[LeArc] Forecast Discussion : MLI@ 7/28/02 3:04:52 PM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


FXUS63 KDVN 282005
AFDMLI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
304 PM CDT SUN JUL 28 2002

CLOUDS AND SOME PRECIP HUNG AROUND LONGER THAN FORECAST PUTTING A
DAMPER ON THE HEAT FOR TODAY. SOME AREAS MAY JUST REACH ADVISORY
CRITERIA BUT CURRENT THOUGHTS ARE TO DROP ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT. WILL
MONITOR AND MAKE A LAST MINUTE DECISION.

AVN APPEARS TO INITIALLY HANDLE MAIN FEATURES PRETTY WELL. BASED ON
THAT PREMISE AVN DEVELOPS MCS THAT GOES ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY ANOTHER ACROSS MISSOURI. CURRENT DATA INDICATES
THAT THE MINNESOTA MCS WILL HAPPEN. THAT WOULD LEAVE AREA IN THE MIDDLE
WITH SOME PRECIP BUT NOT MUCH. BETTER FORCING IS ALSO NORTH/SOUTH OF
CWFA. COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH DURING THE MORNING WITH MOST OF THE
AREA CLEARING OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON (ALA SATURDAY). QUIET WX THEN FOR
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. EXTENDED STARTS OUT QUIET ON
WEDNESDAY WITH ANOTHER FRONT MOVING THROUGH ON THURSDAY. AVN HAS NICE
THETA E RIDGE AND FORCING ALONG FRONT WHICH WOULD SUGGEST HIGH CHANCE
OR LIKELY POPS. FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THEN TURN QUIET AGAIN.

MAV/FWC ARE SIMILAR ON TEMPS WITH MAV BEING COOLER ON THE MAXES. MINS
TONIGHT MAY BE ON THE LOW SIDE GIVEN CURRENT MID AND UPPER 70 DEW
POINTS ACROSS THE AREA.

COORDINATED WITH DSM AND LSE.

.DVN...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

86