[LeArc] Special Weather Statement : MLI@ 4/27/02 5:37:35 AM

[learc@mailman.qth.net]

The following weather message is provided by McDonough County E.S.D.A.


WWUS35 KMLI 271039
SPSMLI
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-009-
015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-281000-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
539 AM CDT SAT APR 27 2002

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TODAY...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND
THIS EVENING FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80...AND A SLIGHT
RISK FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 IN EASTERN IOWA AND
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TO
STRENGTHEN AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. THIS...
ALONG WITH A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WILL CAUSE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO CONTINUE SURGING NORTHWARD.
THIS MOISTURE FLOWING OVER THE SHALLOW COOL AIR OVER EASTERN IOWA AND
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING.

A WARM FRONT...MARKING THE EDGE A DEEP MOIST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL PUSH
NORTH INTO SOUTHEAST IOWA AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS BY MIDDAY. AS UPPER
LEVEL ENERGY INCREASES...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY...WHERE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED. THIS AREA...
MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34...WILL BE INITIALLY MOST FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON. A FEW MAY PRODUCE
TORNADOES ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE FRONT. FURTHER NORTH OF THE
FRONT INTO EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND A SOME WITH DAMAGING WIND.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN THE EVENING AS THE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER MOVES EAST ALONG THE WARM FRONT INTO EAST CENTRAL IOWA.
THESE STORMS WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE LOW PRESSURE
CENTER.

IN ADDITION...THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER 1
INCH ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH AMOUNTS LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 2 TO 2.5 INCHES
BY SUNDAY MORNING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY NEARLY SATURATED DUE TO
RECENT RAINFALL IN MANY AREAS...SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING AND RISES ALONG
AREA RIVERS CAN BE EXPECTED.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED TODAY. THIS IS A POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND A FEW DAMAGING
TORNADOES POSSIBLE FROM AFTERNOON INTO EVENING. CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS.

UPCOMING SPOTTER TRAINING CLASSES:

April 29, 2002:  Memphis, MO, 7:00 p.m.

On Monday, April 29, at 7:00 pm, severe weather and tornado
spotter training will be conducted in Memphis, Missouri (Scotland
County) at the Theater, which is located on the north side of the town
square. This free two hour class is being sponsored by Scotland County
Emergency Management and KMEM Radio.  For additional information,
contact Jason Moss at (660) 341-1949, or Rick Fisher at 1-800-748-7875.
Media, please advertise and promote this free class as much as
possible. Thank you.

$$
DLS

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