[KCDXC] Fw: ARLP027 Propagation de K7VVV

[Steve Lufcy]

> From: "ARRL Web site" > Sent: Wednesday, July 03, 2002 13:27
> Subject: ARLP027 Propagation de K7VVV
> 
> 
> > SB PROP @ ARL $ARLP027
> > ARLP027 Propagation de K7VVV
> > 
> > ZCZC AP27
> > QST de W1AW  
> > Propagation Forecast Bulletin 27  ARLP027
> > From Tad Cook, K7VVV
> > Seattle, WA  July 3, 2002
> > To all radio amateurs 
> > 
> > SB PROP ARL ARLP027
> > ARLP027 Propagation de K7VVV
> > 
> > This is a short bulletin this week because of the Independence Day
> > holiday.  On July 12 we will be back with the sunspot, solar flux
> > and A index data for two weeks.
> > 
> > Conditions remain quiet, with solar flux dipping below 140 and
> > sunspot numbers below 100 around June 27 and 28.  The outlook still
> > appears flat for the near term, with solar flux around 140-145 for
> > the foreseeable future.
> > 
> > Because June has ended, we may now look at some monthly and
> > quarterly averages.
> > 
> > The average daily sunspot numbers for the last six quarters, from
> > January 1, 2001 to June 30, 2002 were 147.3, 164.8, 170.4, 198.1,
> > 178.3 and 165.3.  The average daily solar flux for the same quarters
> > was 164.4, 166.7, 175.5, 219.1, 203.9 and 156.4.  As you can see,
> > solar activity has declined this quarter.
> > 
> > The average daily sunspot number per month for January through June
> > was 189, 194.5, 153.1, 144.4, 204.1 and 146.  Average daily solar
> > flux values for the same months were 227.3, 205, 179.5, 141.1, 178.4
> > and 148.7.  While the trend is down, it looks like May wasn't a bad
> > month.
> > 
> > KC0DXK wrote in to reminisce about 6 meter contacts in 1998, and
> > said he looks forward to the next high sunspot period.  When might
> > the next solar cycle peak be?  It is quite a ways off in the future.
> > Current projections (which you can see at
> > http://www.sec.noaa.gov/weekly/pdf/prf1397.pdf ) show the minimum
> > between the cycles around the end of 2006.  The next peak is so far
> > off that it isn't shown in this table, but 11 years from Spring 2000
> > is 2011.  Quite some time from now.
> > 
> > Last week's bulletin mused about spaceweather.com being a dot-com
> > instead of dot-gov, and AA7VL pointed out that the Spaceweather site
> > isn't really sponsored by NASA.  It takes lots of data from NASA,
> > but it is put together by Dr. Tony Phillips, and isn't actually a
> > government site.
> > NNNN
> > /EX
> 
>