[HCRA] Fw: Storm Coordination Message #2

[et-n1qko at juno.com]

 Eric Tuller   N1QKO
Assistant SKYWARN Coordinator for W.Ma.    M.E.M.A. Region 3 Radio
Operator
Emergency Coordinator for the MTARA     KB1HGK   Radio Operators for
Missing Children
CT+ MD+ VT+ Stockwood + King Richards  Ren Faires

--------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "Rob Macedo" <rmacedo at rcn.com>
To: <Undisclosed-Recipient:;>
Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2005 07:44:29 -0500
Subject: Storm Coordination Message #2
Message-ID: <008e01c50ddd$01bd64d0$6401a8c0 at oemcomputer>

Hello to all....

.....Another Potentially Significant Winter Storm Is Poised to Affect
Southern New England Late Wednesday Night Through Thursday Evening....
.....A Winter Storm Watch is now in effect for Northeast Connecticut, All
of
Rhode Island as well as Eastern and Central Massachusetts including Cape
Cod
and the Islands for late Wednesday Night Through Thursday Evening for the
Potential for 6-12" of Snow....
.....The Potential also exists for Strong Winds and Minor to Moderate
Coastal Flooding at the times of high tide Thursday....
.....Areas outside of the Winter Storm Watch area could see a moderate
snowfall from this event....
.....Some form of SKYWARN Activation maybe needed in the Winter Storm
Watch
area Thursday....

After a thaw through the first part of February, a nor'easter will have
the
potential to cause significant snowfall over Northeast Connecticut, Rhode
Island and Eastern and Central Massachusetts where a Winter Storm Watch
is
now in effect. Rain and snow will start the storm late Wednesday Night
and
changeover to snow by daybreak Thursday in the interior and between
daybreak
and midday across Cape Cod and the Islands and the South Coasts of
Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The snow will become heavy at times with
total storm accumilations of 6-12" possible. Winds will pick up during
the
storm and last as long as Friday with the potential for wind gusts of 50
MPH. The winds, combined with the snow, could cause isolated pockets of
damage. In addition, astronomical high tides will be high during the
storm
and if Northeast winds strengthen near the time of high tide, the
potential
exists for at least a minor to moderate coastal flood event at the times
of
high tide Thursday.

Across the remainder of Northern Connecticut, Western Massachusetts, and
Southern New Hampshire, amounts at this time appear to be less with the
potential for 3-6" of snowfall. Future model runs will determine how much
snow this region receives. If the track is slower or closer to the coast,
more snow would occur here, if its further away from the coast, less snow
will occur.

It is noted that one reliable model is slowing down the storm
considerably
once it takes shape. If that occurs, we could potentially have a
prolonged
storm that would increase snowfall amounts particularly in Eastern
Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Northeast Connecticut. This will be
monitored in case that becomes the scenario.

Some form of SKYWARN Activation maybe needed in the Winter Storm Watch
area
Thursday. Remember, a watch means conditions are possible but not a
certainity. Future model runs will give a better assessment of the track
and
speed and that will ultimately determine if we will see the impact
outlined
here, greater impact, or lesser impact across Southern New England. The
next
coordination message will be issued either late tonight or Wednesday.
Below
is the Winter Storm Watch Statement, Special Weather Statement, Marine
Weather Statement and Hazardous Weather Outlook from NWS Taunton:

WWUS41 KBOX 080916
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
414 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

CTZ004-MAZ004>007-012>024-026-RIZ001>008-081700-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-
DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX COUNTY MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATTLEBOROUGH...BARNSTABLE...BARRINGTON...
BEVERLY...BOSTON...BRISTOL...BROCKTON...BROOKLINE...CAMBRIDGE...
FALL RIVER...FALMOUTH...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...FRANKLIN...
GLOUCESTER...LAWRENCE...LEOMINSTER...LOWELL...LYNN...MILFORD...
NANTUCKET...NEW BEDFORD...NEWBURYPORT...NEWPORT...NEWTON...
NORTH ATTLEBOROUGH...PLAINFIELD...PLYMOUTH...PROVIDENCE...PUTNAM...
QUINCY...SOMERVILLE...SOUTH KINGSTOWN...TAUNTON...VINEYARD HAVEN...
WALTHAM...WARWICK...WEYMOUTH...WILLIMANTIC...WOONSOCKET AND WORCESTER
414 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON MA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH. THIS WINTER STORM WATCH INCLUDES NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT...ALL
OF RHODE ISLAND...AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOWFALL BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS
THURSDAY EVENING.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND WILL PROBABLY
START AS RAIN FROM THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR TO CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS. BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY...IT SHOULD BE SNOWING EVERYWHERE
EXCEPT ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...WHERE A CHANGE TO SNOW SHOULD
TAKE PLACE BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES THURSDAY. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS MAY
CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH POOR VISIBILITY...
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST.

SINCE THIS POTENTIAL STORM IS STILL A COUPLE OF DAYS AWAY...IT WOULD
BE A GOOD IDEA TO PAY ATTENTION TO LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION.

$$

JWD
WWWW

WWUS81 KBOX 080944
SPSBOX

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
443 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

CTZ002-003-MAZ002-003-008>011-NHZ011-012-015-081700-
CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...AMHERST...BRISTOL...CHICOPEE...
EAST HARTFORD...GREENFIELD...HARTFORD...JAFFREY...KEENE...
MANCHESTER...MANSFIELD...NASHUA...NEW BRITAIN...NEWINGTON...
NORTHAMPTON...SPRINGFIELD...VERNON...WEST HARTFORD AND WINDSOR LOCKS
443 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

...A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM MAY AFFECT INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM MAY BRING HEAVY SNOW TO NORTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT...
WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE AS IT PASSES
SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET THURSDAY.

WHILE THIS TRACK WOULD FAVOR THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS IN SOUTHEAST
NEW ENGLAND...WHERE WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED...THERE IS
STILL A CHANCE THAT HEAVY SNOW FROM THIS STORM WILL REACH FARTHER
INLAND.

IF IT BECOMES MORE LIKELY THAT STORM TOTALS WILL EXCEED 6 INCHES...
WINTER STORM WATCHES WOULD BE EXTENDED TO INCLUDE INTERIOR SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND. AT THE VERY LEAST...THIS STORM SHOULD BRING SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW TO THE INTERIOR.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS POTENTIAL WINTER STORM.

$$

JWD


948
FZUS71 KBOX 081026
MWSBOX
ANZ230>237-250-254-255-082130-

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
526 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

ANOTHER STRONG WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE COASTAL
   WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...

A STORM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...THEN PASS NEAR 40N/70W THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE TURNING
NORTHEAST THURSDAY EVENING.  THIS STORM SHOULD BE JUST SOUTHEAST
OF NOVA SCOTIA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE RAPIDLY THURSDAY MORNING AS
THIS STORM APPROACHES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS
AROUND 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT FORECAST.  SEAS SHOULD
ALSO RAPIDLY BUILD FROM AROUND 4 FT OVER THE OUTER WATERS...TO
NEAR 10 FT BY THURSDAY EVENING.

MARINERS THAT HAVE PLANS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY IN THE
MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS SHOULD MONITOR FUTURE
FORECASTS FOR UPDATED DETAILS OF WHAT SHOULD BE A SIGNIFICANT WINTER
STORM.

FLUS41 KBOX 080952 AAA
HWOBOX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
450 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-091200-
BARNSTABLE MA-BLOCK ISLAND RI-BRISTOL RI-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
CHESHIRE NH-DUKES MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
EASTERN KENT RI-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-HARTFORD CT-
NANTUCKET MA-NEWPORT RI-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-
NORTHWEST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-SUFFOLK MA-TOLLAND CT-
WASHINGTON RI-WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN KENT RI-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-WINDHAM CT-
450 AM EST TUE FEB 8 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE...
MASSACHUSETTS EAST OF BERKSHIRE COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
CONNECTICUT...AND ALL OF RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

LOCALIZED ICY SPOTS MAY AFFECT SOME ROADWAYS EARLY THIS MORNING...
ESPECIALLY FROM THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR TO THE UPPER CAPE.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO AFFECT
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH ITS WIND EFFECTS
POSSIBLY LASTING INTO SATURDAY. IT WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS AND COASTAL FLOODING.

THE LATEST FORECAST IS FOR A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN
RAPIDLY AS IT TRACKS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET THURSDAY...THEN HEADS
TO THE GULF OF MAINE FRIDAY MORNING.

HEAVY SNOW IMPACT...
THIS TRACK WOULD BRING THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS TO THE AREA FROM
WILLIMANTIC TO WORCESTER AND LAWRENCE...TO CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS
WHERE WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED. REFER TO THE WINTER
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR DETAILS.

THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO CALLS FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE
WATCH AREA. FARTHER NORTH AND WEST...TOTALS SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN
ADVISORY CRITERIA...MOST LIKELY 3 TO 6 INCHES. THE WATCH MAY NEED TO
BE EXTENDED TO THESE LOCATIONS IF THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER TOTALS
INCREASES.

SNOW SHOULD BEGIN LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IT WILL PROBABLY AS START AS
RAIN OR A RAIN/SNOW MIX FROM I-95 TO THE CAPE AND ISLANDS...BUT A
CHANGE TO SNOW SHOULD TAKE PLACE BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY DOWN TO THE
SOUTH COAST AND BY EARLY AFTERNOON ON THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. THE
HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY...THEN SNOW SHOULD END THURSDAY
EVENING.

STRONG WIND IMPACT...
WINDS SHOULD INCREASE RAPIDLY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM
THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY...WHEN GUSTS COULD REACH 50 MPH
ALONG THE COAST AND 40 KTS ON THE COASTAL WATERS. SEAS MAY BUILD AS
HIGH AS 15 FEET ON THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. STRONG WINDS MAY LAST
INTO SATURDAY ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS
PERSISTING ON PARTS OF THE COASTAL WATERS.

COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR TO PERHAPS MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING MAY AFFECT THE EASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS COAST DURING HIGH TIDE AROUND MIDDAY THURSDAY OR LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...DUE ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH TIDES COMBINING WITH 10 TO
15 FT SEAS AND A POSSIBLE 2 FT SURGE WITH A PERSISTENT NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WIND.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$

JWD



Respectfully Submitted,

Robert Macedo (KD1CY)
ARES SKYWARN Coordinator
Eastern Massachusetts ARES Section Emergency Coordinator
Pager #: (508) 354-3142
Home Phone #: (508) 994-1875 (After 6 PM)
Home/Data #: (508) 997-4503 (After 6 PM)
Work Phone #: 1-800-445-2588 Ext.: 72929 (8 AM-5 PM)
Email Address: rmacedo at rcn.com
http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo