[HCARC] Solar Cycle 25 is here.

[John Canfield]

Yippee (hopefully!)

On September 15, 2020 4:07:07 PM CDT, Kerry <kerryk5ks at hughes.net> wrote:
>The Solar Cycle Prediction Panel, co-chaired by NOAA and NASA has 
>determined that the solar minimum between Cycle 24 and Cycle 25
>happened 
>in December 2019 with a 13 month smoothed sunspot number of 1.8.  The 
>panel is predicting a peak smoothed sunspot number of 115 in 2025.  
>Cycle 24 had a peak of 114.
>
>
>Note that we are about 10 months past the peak and they just made the 
>announcement today!  The predicted peak of 115 suggests that they
>expect 
>this cycle to be essentially the same as the last one.  They said they 
>don't expect we will be going into a long period of very low sunspots 
>like the infamous Maunder Minimum.
>
>
>This is just a prediction, by the way, and may be only slightly more 
>accurate than any of the other recent predictions which vary from
>almost 
>no sunspots to a very large cycle.  Until we really understand what is 
>going on on the sun the predictions mean little.  You need to keep
>track 
>of what is happening on the sun - there will be periodic outbursts
>which 
>may last just a few days. The fun will be had by those who keep track
>of 
>what the sun is doing.
>
>
>Kerry, K5KS
>
>
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