[HCARC] Tropical storm Harvey

Gary J - N5BAA qltfnish at omniglobal.net
Thu Aug 24 16:47:36 EDT 2017


Here is the latest from Accuweather Premium:

"Hurricane Harvey is going through rapid intensification over the Gulf of 
Mexico about 330 miles southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas. Sustained winds 
are 85 mph with higher gusts. Harvey remains in an environment of lower 
vertical wind shear, very warm sea-surface temperatures and deep, moist, 
unstable air. Given these favorable conditions, Harvey should reach Category 
3 hurricane strength Friday morning and should make landfall as a Category 3 
hurricane along the coast of Texas early Saturday morning. It is possible 
that Harvey will reach Category 4 strength on Friday. Any hurricane of 
Category 3 or greater is considered a major hurricane. This would make 
Harvey the first major land falling hurricane in the U.S. since 2005.
Harvey will generally move to the northwest over the next 24-48 hours and 
reach the Texas coast early Saturday morning. At the time of landfall, 
damaging winds will lead to extensive property damage, power outages, and 
life-threatening conditions. Some power outages may last a week or more. 
Just to the east of the center of Harvey, a storm surge inundation of 6-12 
feet can lead to significant coastal flooding. Further strengthening will 
lead to higher storm surge inundation.
After Harvey makes landfall, it will slow down and stall inland, possibly 
for days, before moving slowly to the south or east. Harvey will produce 
torrential rainfall over a long period of time across southern and eastern 
Texas. Devastating and life-threatening flash flooding and prolonged river 
flooding are likely with many places receiving over 8 inches of rain. Some 
locations will receive over 24 inches of rain. Over the weekend, flooding 
rain, coastal flooding will shift northward into Louisiana.
The combination of damaging winds and flooding from coastal inundation and 
heavy rain will be disruptive to travel and commerce. Some oil refineries 
will be shut down for an extended period of time causing short-term gasoline 
shortages. "

73,

Gary J
N5BAA

-----Original Message----- 
From: Gary J - N5BAA
Sent: Thursday, August 24, 2017 3:38 PM
To: kd5wdq . ; sgriffin1 at windstream.net
Cc: Hcarc
Subject: Re: [HCARC] Tropical storm Harvey

And 2 days ago Harvey was a disorganized mass of clouds - no one knew what
he was going to do.  The storm is now predicted to reach Cat 3 intensity.
Harvey will go where Harvey wants to go.  Mostly the prognosticators are
guessing just like the rest of us.  I clearly remember the 52 inches of rain
at my QTH the week of July 2 2002 from a minor tropical system that got
stuck in south Texas.

One thing I have learned about South Texas weather is "big amounts" of rain
fall really quickly and without warning.  Had in excess of 4 inches in one
day 2 weeks ago.

73,

Gary J
N5BAA

-----Original Message----- 
From: kd5wdq .
Sent: Thursday, August 24, 2017 2:36 PM
To: sgriffin1 at windstream.net
Cc: Hcarc
Subject: Re: [HCARC] Tropical storm Harvey

Funny, the WX channel said you'd need to be to or past
"Kerrville" to miss the really big rain.

And they do mean BIG rain.  IMO, Kerrville will be mostly OK.


AF5SA




On 8/24/17, sgriffin1 at windstream.net <sgriffin1 at windstream.net> wrote:
>
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>
>
>
>
>     I think this afternoon I going to put my g5rv down for the weekend 
> look
> like this tropical storm or possible hurricane Harvey may get dicey around
> here. Been looking on the National Weather Service Maps. And when you see
> San Antonio is under a tropical storm warning and we're not that far away.
> It looks like the storm is ramping up pretty quickly.WD5ENHSteve
> Happy Connecting.  Sent from my Sprint Phone.
>
>
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