[FLARES] BULLETIN

Fri May 21 14:00:17 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

ZCZC MIATCPMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 211800

BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

..DRILL! WANDA CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST... 

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH BUT WILL LIKELY BE DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TODAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA BUT MIGHT BE DOWNGRADED LATER TODAY TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IF WANDA CONTINUES ITS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR BIMINI... GRAND BAHAMA... AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FROM JUPITER INLET TO HALLANDALE ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 2 PM EDT... 1800 UTC... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM... NORTHEAST OF FT. PIERCE FLORIDA.

WANDA CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH... 16 KM/HR... HOWEVER A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS STILL POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH... 169 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 113 KM... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 282 KM. 

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 960 MB... 28.35 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. 

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION... 28.4 N...  79.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...  105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

AVILA

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

Graphical output of Predicted positions killed after 21/1500z due to
proximity of plots to real severe weather possibility in NorthEastern US

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004