[FLARES] HURRICANE WANDA ADVISORY NUMBER 13

Fri May 21 11:00:25 EDT 2004

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004

ZCZC MIATCPMAT3 ALL
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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WANDA ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

..DRILL! WANDA NOW MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST... 

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

A HURRICANE WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA BUT MIGHT BE DOWNGRADED LATER TODAY TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IF WANDA CONTINUES ITS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.

AT 11 AM EDT... 1500 UTC... THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR BIMINI... GRAND BAHAMA... AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

AT 11 AM EDT... 1500 UTC... THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM JUPITER INLET TO HALLANDALE ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 11 AM EDT... 1500 UTC... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF HALLANDALE TO FLORIDA CITY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 11 AM EDT... 1500 UTC... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF BOCA GRANDE TO LONGBOAT KEY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 11 AM EDT... 1500 UTC... THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 72 KM... NORTHEAST OF FT. PIERCE FLORIDA.

WANDA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH... 16 KM/HR... HOWEVER A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS STILL POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH... 169 KM/HR WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES... 113 KM... AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 282 KM. WITHIN THE PAST HOUR VERO BEACH REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 93 MPH.  WITHIN THE PAST HOUR A SUSTAINED WIND OF 80 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE MELBOURNE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 959 MB... 28.35 INCHES.

A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS... ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WANDA.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. 

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION... 27.9 N...  79.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD... NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...  105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...  959 MB.

THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

AVILA

THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.
THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.  REPEATING, THIS IS AN EXERCISE MESSAGE.

Graphical output of Predicted positions killed after 21/1500z due to
proximity of plots to real severe weather possibility in NorthEastern US

Sent by Wxsvr in support of the South Florida Section SET 2004