[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42B

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 021900
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  42B
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
3 PM EDT FRI MAY 02 2003
 
..DRILL! HURRICANE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS...
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING..

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY
ON THE EAST COAST SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM NORTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO STUART...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO BAYPORT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA. 
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM MATANZAS WESTWARD
TO PINAR DEL RIO.
 
AT 3 PM EDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. 
 
WILFRED HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/HR...FOR THE PAST TWO HOURS...BUT A NORTHWEST HEADING IS EXPECTED
TO RESUME AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE
CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS...
BUT STRONG RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER THE KEYS INTO
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE AUTOMATED REPORTING SITE ON SOMBRERO KEY...LOCATED ABOUT
35 MILES EAST OF KEY WEST...CONTINUES TO REPORT SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS.  A GUST TO 95 MPH RECENTLY OCCURRED AT MARCO ISLAND. 
SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  80 MILES...130 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED FROM RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CUBA...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.  
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA...BUT WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE OVER THE KEYS
TONIGHT.  
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 3 PM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 82.5 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD
..WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/021900m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/021900.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise