[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 021700
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  41A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 PM EDT FRI MAY 02 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED CONTINUES BATTERING THE FLORIDA KEYS...
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY
ON THE EAST COAST SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND FOR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM NORTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO STUART...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO BAYPORT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA TO ST. MARKS FLORIDA.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM MATANZAS WESTWARD
TO PINAR DEL RIO.
 
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES
..30 KM...NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.  THE EASTERN PART OF THE
EYEWALL REMAINS OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A SERIOUS
THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS FOR SEVERAL MORE
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE AUTOMATED REPORTING SITE ON SOMBRERO KEY...LOCATED ABOUT
35 MILES EAST OF KEY WEST...HAS HAD SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
FOR OVER THREE HOURS.  THIS INCLUDES A TWO-MINUTE WIND OF 94 MPH
WITH A GUST TO 113 MPH.  A SUSTAINED WIND OF 60 MPH WITH A GUST TO
84 MPH HAS BEEN REPORTED FROM THE EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER ON
MARCO ISLAND ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  80 MILES...130 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST.
 
KEY WEST FLORIDA AND THE HURRICANE HUNTERS BOTH REPORTED A PRESSURE
IN THE EYE OF  981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CUBA...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.  SANTA CLARA CUBA HAS RECEIVED ABOUT 11 INCHES OF RAIN SO
FAR.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
IN THE WARNING AREA.  WATER LEVELS ABOUT 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL HAVE
BEEN REPORTED IN THE MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS...NEAR MARATHON.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND CENTRAL FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 82.1 W.  MOVEMENT TOWARD
..NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
RAPPAPORT
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/021700m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/021700.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise