[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  38A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT THU MAY 02 2003

..DRILL! WINDS GUSTING TO 55 MPH IN SQUALLS OVER THE FLORIDA
KEYS...PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD      
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA... 
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA... FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.  THIS
INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES. THE
AREA OF HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FROM
JUST NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH...AT BOCA RATON...TO STUART ON THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH
NORTHWARD TO LONGBOAT KEY ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. THIS INCLUDES
PALM BEACH...MARTIN...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD AND FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.0 WEST OR ABOUT 205
MILES...335 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
..22 KM/HR.  THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS BRINGING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FRIDAY MORNING.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF
THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAIN COVER A WIDE
SWATH. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...135 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 6 PM EDT...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 81 MPH AND A PRESSURE OF 986
MB...29.12 INCHES...WERE REPORTED AT CAYO COCO JUST OFF THE NORTH
COAST OF CUBA. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE JUST REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...22.9 N... 79.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
PASCH

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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/020000m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/020000.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise