[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

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HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT THU MAY 01 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED STILL OVER EASTERN CUBA... 

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.  THIS
INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FFORM STUART TO DEERFIELD BEACH
ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FROM SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD
TO BONITA BEACH ON THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.  THIS INCLUDES PALM
BEACH...MARTIN...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD AND FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED FOR HAITI.  INTERESTS THERE
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC...AND
LITTLE CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED
BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 
77.0 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS INLAND OVER CUBA ABOUT 60 MILES...95
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY AND ABOUT 385 MILES...620 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING NEAR THE
NORTHERN COAST COAST OF CUBA FOR MOST OF TODAY.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE
PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAINS COVER A WIDE SWATH.  A FEW HOURS
AGO...PUNTA LUCRECIA ON THE NORTH COAST OF EASTERN CUBA REPORTED
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH...119 KM/H SUSTAINED FOR TEN
MINUTES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST LATER TODAY WHEN THE CENTER OF WILFRED IS
FORECAST TO MOVE BACK OVER WATER.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 155 MILES...250 KM.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS  989 MB...29.20 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
  
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...21.1 N... 77.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
 
AVILA
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/011200m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/011200.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise