[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A

[kg5qd@wxsvr.net]

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT WED MAY 01 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED MOVING OVER EASTERN CUBA... 
..THIS IS A SIMULATED BULLETIN! THERE IS NO STORM THREATENING...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI...FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD...FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...CAYMAN BRAC
AND LITTLE CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND
FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS AND MATANZAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BONITA BEACH
SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS.  THIS
INCLUDES MONROE...MIAMI DADE...BROWARD AND COLLIER COUNTIES.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF HURRICANE WILFRED
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.3 WEST...OR
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUANTANAMO BAY CUBA.
 
WILFRED APPEARS TO HAVE WOBBLED TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER THE PAST
FEW HOURS BUT A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME...MOVING THE CENTER ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
CUBA OVERNIGHT.  DO NOT FOCUS ON THE PRECISE LOCATION AND TRACK OF
THE CENTER.  THE HURRICANES DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND RAINS COVER A WIDE
SWATH. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A FEW
SQUALLS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST OVERNIGHT...WHILE THE CENTER OF WILFRED IS OVER CUBA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY 20 INCHES OR MORE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF WILFRED. THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED
ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...20.3 N... 75.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
PASCH
 
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The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/010000m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/010000.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise