[FLARES] HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER 13

Fri, 25 Apr 2003 11:00:01 -0400 (EDT)

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC 251500
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILFRED ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI APR 25 2003

..DRILL! WILFRED REACHES 100 MPH WINDS...BECOMING A THREAT TO THE LESSER
ANTILLES...

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES LATER TODAY.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE WILFRED WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  46.6 WEST OR ABOUT 960 MILES...
1545 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

WILFRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  WILFRED IS CURRENTLY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE AND IS FORECAST TO STRENGHTEN INTO A
CATEGORY THREE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
HURRICANE.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...13.1 N... 46.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

AVILA

STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT72 KNHC.

NNNN
NNNN

The Forecast/Advisory for this Time is available at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/251500m.txt
Also a graphical aprs plot of the Forecast is at:
http://wxsvr.net/tmp/251500.png

This is an Exercise Message - Repeating this is only an Exercise