[CALV-AUXCOMM] Tropical Storm Hermine Advisory 20

[Eric Christensen]

I'm sure everyone's been following the forecast track of Hermine[0].  As
of 0500 this morning Hermine has been downgraded to a tropical storm and
is crossing into Georgia.  The current forecast keeps Hermine well off
the coast of Maryland once it exits North Carolina near Nags Head.

With the exception of the Eastern Shore, there are no watches or
warnings posted for Maryland at this time.  There is a 20-30%
probability of tropical storm force winds over Calvert County during the
next 120 hours (5 days)[1].  If Hermine stays on the the projected
course we should also avoid any serious rainfall[2].  We are, however,
still within the error zone and Hermine could decide to slip back west
and come for a visit.  To me, the greatest threat will come from
on-shore winds pushing water onto our beaches.  The last forecast I saw
projected a less-than-two foot surge which could cause problems for low
lying areas that are prone to tidal flooding (e.g. Solomons).

All-in-all, I think we're going to be okay.

Please provide your availability to the list (you can just reply to this
message),  no later than 10AM Saturday, and state whether or not you are
deployable within the county, within the state, or just available from home.

Thanks everyone!

73,
Eric WG3K

[0] http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#HERMINE
[1]
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/093924.shtml?tswind120#contents
[2]
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/093924.shtml?rainqpf#contents