[CALV-ARES] [New post] Winter Storm Update

[Jim Montgomery via CALV-ARES]

Hi Eric,
 
Excellent post!
 

tnx es 73, de
Jim
WB3KAS
PRGE ARES EC
MDC SEC

 
 
-----Original Message-----
From: Calvert County Amateur Radio Emergency Service <donotreply at wordpress.com>
To: calv-ares <calv-ares at mailman.qth.net>
Sent: Mon, Jan 26, 2015 3:18 pm
Subject: [CALV-ARES] [New post] Winter Storm Update


  
   
   
     
       
       
       
         
          
           
            
            
              
               
                
                
                  
                 
                
              
               
                
                
                  
 
 New post on Calvert County Amateur Radio Emergency Service 
 
                  
  
                 
                
              
               
                
                
                  
                   
                    
                    
                      
                       
                        
                        
                          
 
 
                          
 
Winter Storm Update
 by Eric Christensen 
                         
                        
                      
                       
                        
Weather Overview
                        
The weather forecast is improving as the storm approaches us. Some areas are expecting upwards of 37 inches of snow in blizzard conditions. Luckily that isn't us. Yesterday's issued Winter Weather Watch, which was set to go into effect at 6PM today, has been downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory. The advisory, however, is set to go into effect at 4PM.
                        
While the watch spoke of a potential of greater than 5 inches of snowfall accumulation, the advisory, and related forecast discussion, speaks of 2-4 inches. Gale warnings are in effect for the Bay near Calvert County so very windy conditions are expected along with this storm.
                        
Activation Forecast
                        
At this time I believe there is a low risk for activation of ARES. Of course, until it's all over with we cannot be sure. This would be a fantastic time to charge up any batteries you may have and test out any comm gear that you don't usually use. Please monitor 146.985 - (Tone 156.7Hz) as much as possible during the event.  If you lose power or other services please let me know.  ARES is here as much for our served agencies as we are for each other.
                        
If you are a SKYWARN spotter or a CoCoRaHS station please make sure you are reporting your conditions, as necessary.
                        
Additional Weather Discussion
                        
A great resource to read to see into the mind of the meteorologist who is putting out the forecasts and advisories is the Area Forecast Discussion. These notes are used primarily as a tool for exchanging information between weather forecast offices but is available for everyone to read. The authors are sometimes very candid in their descriptions and allows customers an insight into what went into the nice, clear forecast that is available on the website (why is there a big snowflake showing up for Monday night?). I'll quote from this morning's discussion to outline what we're seeing now and for the rest of the day:
                        
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
 ENHANCED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A RATHER VIGOROUS
 UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW TRACKING EAST
 ACROSS THE VA/NC BORDER EARLY THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED
 WITH THIS CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION THIS
 MORNING. COLD AIR HAS BEEN SLOW TO FILTER SOUTH OVERNIGHT. FREEZING
 TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN RELEGATED MOSTLY ALONG THE MASON DIXON LINE
 AND POINTS JUST SOUTH. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS
 MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS ENERGY TRANSFERS FROM THE CLIPPER
 SYSTEM TO THE CAROLINA COAST A BIT LATER TODAY. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY
 DRIVE THE COLD AIR SOUTH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA.
                        
What I would suggest taking from this is "watch the temperature". Hopefully everyone can be safely home before the temperatures really dip causing the rain to shift to snow.  I'll end this update with another quote from the discussion:
                        
...EARLIER INDICATION OF MORE SIGNIFICANT WRAP
 AROUND SNOWFALL ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR DOES NOT APPEAR
 AS SIGNIFICANT. THREAT FOR WARNING LEVEL SNOW HAS DIMINISHED.
                        
Stay safe, everyone.
                        
                       
                       
                        Eric Christensen | January 26, 2015 at 10:03 am | Tags:                        snow,                        winter weather | Categories:                        Weather | URL:                        http://wp.me/p5lbyv-2d                       
 
                     
                    
                  
 
                 
                
              
               
                
                
                  
 
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