[SMCARA] FW: [Aurorawarn] LOW Latitude Auroral Activity Warning - 10 November

[A.J. Farmer]

I didn't see anything significant last night, but they are still predicting
the possibility of visible aurora tonight.  See details below.
 
I'll stop bugging you guys with these e-mails now.  ;-)  If you have any
further interest, I recommend you visit these websites to keep up to date:
 
http://www.spaceweather.com
http://www.spacew.com (under heavy load right now, may not come up - keep
trying)
 
73!

A.J. Farmer, AJ3U
 <http://www.aj3u.com/> http://www.aj3u.com


  _____  

From: aurorawarn-bounces at spacew.com [mailto:aurorawarn-bounces at spacew.com]
On Behalf Of aurorawarn at spacew.com
Sent: Tuesday, November 09, 2004 8:37 PM
To: aurorawarn at spacew.com
Subject: [Aurorawarn] LOW Latitude Auroral Activity Warning - 10 November


LOW LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY WARNING
Issued: 01:25 UTC 10 November 2004
Solar Terrestrial Dispatch
www.spacew.com
 

VALID BEGINNING AT: EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY
VALID UNTIL: 23:00 UTC (6 pm EST) ON 10 NOVEMBER
 
HIGH RISK PERIOD: 10 NOVEMBER (UTC DAYS)
MODERATE RISK PERIOD: 10-11 NOVEMBER
 
PREDICTED ACTIVITY INDICES: 100, 30, 20, 20 (10 - 13 NOVEMBER)
 
POTENTIAL MAGNITUDE OF LOW LATITUDE AURORAL ACTIVITY: MODERATE
 
POTENTIAL DURATION OF THIS ACTIVITY: MAIN BELT = 12 TO 18 HOURS
                                    MINOR BELT = 18 TO 24 HOURS
 
ESTIMATED OPTIMUM OBSERVING CONDITIONS: NEAR LOCAL MIDNIGHT
 
EXPECTED LUNAR INTERFERENCE: LOW AFTER LOCAL MIDNIGHT
 
OVERALL OPPORTUNITY FOR OBSERVATIONS FROM LOW LATITUDES: FAIR TO GOOD
 
AURORAL ACTIVITY *MAY* BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...
   (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS PERSIST)
 
   NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO NEVADA TO SOUTHERN UTAH AND POSSIBLY EXTREME
   NORTHERN ARIZONA TO SOUTHERN COLORADO AND POSSIBLY EXTREME NORTHERN NEW
   MEXICO TO OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF TEXAS TO
   ARKANSAS TO TENNESSEE TO NORTH CAROLINA.
 
ACTIVITY *MAY* ALSO BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY NORTH OF A LINE FROM...
   (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS OCCUR)
 
   FRANCE TO CENTRAL GERMANY TO CZECH REPUBLIC TO CENTRAL POLAND TO
   NORTHERN UKRAINE TO SOUTHERN BELARUS TO CENTRAL RUSSIA.
 
ACTIVITY *MAY* ALSO BE OBSERVED APPROXIMATELY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM...
   (THIS LINE IS VALID *ONLY* IF FAVORABLE STORM CONDITIONS OCCUR)
 
   NEW ZEALAND TO SOUTHERN AUSTRALIA TO SOUTHERN ARGENTINA TO SOUTHERN
CHILE.
 
SYNOPSIS...
 
     Once again, North American mid to low latitude observers may be treated
to displays of auroral activity. Auroral storming is expected to intensify
during the local evening over North America and should become visible over
widespread middle and many low latitude locations. This disturbance is
expected to subside within the next 9 to 15 hours, although residual storm
activity will persist for up to 24 to 36 hours after conditions abate. Mild
auroral activity may therefore be observed from the middle latitudes
tommorrow night as well, although the most intense activity will occur
tonight.
 
     This warning will remain valid through 23:00 UTC (6 pm EST) on
10 November. It will then be updated or allowed to expire. For updated
information, visit: http://www.spacew.com/aurora/forum.html. For real-time
plots of current activity, visit: http://www.spacew.com/plots.html
 
           PLEASE REPORT VALID OBSERVATIONS OF AURORAL ACTIVITY TO:
                 http://www.spacew.com/submitsighting.html
 

**  End of Notice  **