From colstonl at gmail.com Tue Aug 8 17:41:02 2017 From: colstonl at gmail.com (Lloyd Colston) Date: Tue, 8 Aug 2017 16:41:02 -0500 Subject: [Skywarn] [Cometupdates] New from COMET: WPC Rainfall Guidance for Tropical Cyclones In-Reply-To: <16ca6e9a-37ef-ad6a-5156-2a987f99b82e@comet.ucar.edu> References: <16ca6e9a-37ef-ad6a-5156-2a987f99b82e@comet.ucar.edu> Message-ID: The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the new lesson, "WPC Rainfall Guidance for Tropical Cyclones ?. This lesson introduces learners to the challenges in predicting precipitation associated with tropical cyclones (TCs). It also provides an overview of the deterministic and probabilistic rainfall guidance products issued by the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) to forecast TC-related precipitation. Learners work through a TC case to practice interpreting the guidance correctly and communicating the precipitation threat. The lesson also highlights the different interpretations of probabilistic products from the WPC and National Hurricane Center, and the need for collaboration between national centers to ensure a unified message. The lesson will take between 30 and 45 minutes to complete (not including the quiz). The intended audience for "WPC Rainfall Guidance for Tropical Cyclones" includes forecasters in the U.S., Canada, and the Caribbean, emergency managers, and others with general interest in tropical cyclone quantitative precipitation forecasting. NWS forecast offices could also use the module in their training programs in preparation for hurricane season. Please follow this link to the MetEd description page that provides additional information and the link to begin the lesson: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/ training_module.php?id=1317. The MetEd website relies on JavaScript, and some lessons rely on Adobe? Flash? for navigation, animation, and/or presentation of multimedia elements. Ensure that you have a browser updated to its latest version with JavaScript enabled and the latest version of the Adobe FlashPlayer installed (http://get.adobe.com/flashplayer/). For technical support, please visit our Registration and Support FAQs at https://www.meted.ucar.edu/resources_faq.php We welcome any comments or questions you may have regarding the content, instructional approach, or use of this lesson. Please e-mail your comments or questions to Tsvet Ross-Lazarov (tlazarov AT ucar.edu) or Vanessa Vincente (vincente AT ucar.edu). From colstonl at gmail.com Fri Aug 11 09:13:35 2017 From: colstonl at gmail.com (Lloyd Colston) Date: Fri, 11 Aug 2017 08:13:35 -0500 Subject: [Skywarn] National Blend of Global Models Message-ID: The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the new lesson, "Additional Statistical Methods in the NWS National Blend of Global Models ? ( https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1299). Versions 2.0 and 3.0 of the National Blend of global Models (NBM) provide forecasts for precipitation, relative humidity, cloud ceiling heights, surface visibility, and ocean wind speed and direction. This lesson introduces learners to the UnRestricted Mesoscale Analysis (URMA, the analysis of record) used to calibrate the NBM?s bias and error estimates. Learners will also explore the bias correction, weighting, and post-processing procedures used to produce the new forecast elements. For those unfamiliar with the NBM, we recommend the following prerequisites: ?Gridded Products in the NWS National Blend of Global Models ? ( https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1213) "Statistical Methods in the NWS National Blend of Global Models ? ( https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1227) The intended audience for "Additional Statistical Methods in the NWS National Blend of Global Models" includes National Weather Service and other operational weather forecasters, and those with general interest in numerical weather prediction. Users of NWS forecast products across various sectors--including emergency management and planning--might also be interested in the calculations and procedures used to generate these blended forecasts. For best viewing of content on the MetEd website, please ensure that you have a browser updated to its latest version, with JavaScript enabled. For technical support, please visit our Registration and Support FAQs ( https://www.meted.ucar.edu/resources_faq.php). We welcome any comments or questions you may have regarding the content, instructional approach, or use of this lesson. Please e-mail your comments or questions to Dr. Bill Bua (bua AT ucar.edu) or Vanessa Vincente (vincente AT ucar.edu). -- Lloyd Colston director Altus Emergency Management Altus, OK http://www.altusok.gov Phone: 580.481.2260 Fax: 580.482.4738 Pr?parate Ante malum. Virus-free. www.avg.com <#DAB4FAD8-2DD7-40BB-A1B8-4E2AA1F9FDF2> From colstonl at gmail.com Wed Aug 23 08:45:28 2017 From: colstonl at gmail.com (Lloyd Colston) Date: Wed, 23 Aug 2017 07:45:28 -0500 Subject: [Skywarn] Reservoir Pool Elevation Message-ID: The COMET Program is pleased to announce the publication of the new lesson, "Reservoir Pool Elevation: Considerations for Long-term Asset Management and Planning ." Long-term management of critical water resources infrastructure may benefit from incorporating projected changes to environmental conditions. Reservoirs form the heart of water resource assets. Long-range plans for the repair, replacement, maintenance and renovation of these facilities are often based on anticipated reservoir pool elevations. Environmental conditions, in turn, dictate the magnitude and timing of inflows and outflows from reservoirs that determine the water surface elevation. This 20-minute lesson explores the factors that affect reservoir pool elevation and the considerations and challenges that projected reservoir pool elevations pose to managing water resources infrastructure. The intended audience for Reservoir Pool Elevation: Considerations for Long-term Asset Management and Planning includes facility managers, design engineers, and individuals working on water resource management. Others that will be interested in this topic include project managers, resource specialists, public affairs staff, and those that need to be conversant on the process for environmental resiliency for water infrastructure. We welcome any comments or questions you may have regarding the content, instructional approach, or use of this lesson. Please e-mail your comments or questions to Alan Bol (alanbol AT ucar.edu). For technical support, please visit our Registration and Support FAQs -- Lloyd Colston director Altus Emergency Management Altus, OK http://www.altusok.gov Phone: 580.481.2260 Fax: 580.482.4738 Pr?parate Ante malum.