CME STRIKE SPARKS SEVERE GEOMAGNETIC STORM: As predicted,  a CME struck Earth on June 28th (~1000 UT). The impact sparked a severe  G4-class geomagnetic storm, surprising forecasters who expected only a minor G1-class event. Daylight over Europe and the Americas hid a potentially dynamite display of auroras. The storm is subsiding now and should soon be over. Aurora alerts: SMS Text

Solar wind
speed: 469.6 km/sec
density: 6.49 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0856 UT 
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2 
1845 UT Jun28 
24-hr: C6  
2347 UT Jun27  
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2100 UT 
Daily Sun: 28 Jun 24 
Expand: labels | no labels | Carrington
Decaying sunspot AR3723 has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field which poses a threat for M-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

Sunspot number: 146 
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 28 Jun 2024

Spotless Days
Current Stretch: 0 days
2024 total: 0 days (0%)
2023 total: 0 days (0%)
2022 total: 1 day (<1%)
2021 total: 64 days (18%)
2020 total: 208 days (57%)
2019 total: 281 days (77%)
2018 total: 221 days (61%)
2017 total: 104 days (28%)
2016 total: 32 days (9%) 
2015 total: 0 days (0%) 
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
2008 total: 268 days (73%) 
2007 total: 152 days (42%)
2006 total: 70 days (19%)

Updated 28 Jun 2024


Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 27.37x1010 W Hot
Max: 49.4
x1010 W Hot (10/1957)
Min: 2.05
x1010 W Cold (02/2009)
explanation | more data: gfx, txt
Updated 27 Jun 2024

The Radio Sun 
10.7 cm flux: 183 sfu
explanation | more data
Updated 28 Jun 2024

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, and this is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

Oulu Neutron Counts

Percentages of the Space Age average:
today: -4.2% Low 
48-hr change: -1.0%
Max: +11.7% Very High 
(12/2009)
Min: -32.1% Very Low (06/1991)
explanation | more data
Updated 28 Jun 2024 @ 0700 UT

Current Auroral Oval: 
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation
Planetary K-index
Now: Kp= 5.33  storm
24-hr max: Kp= 7.67 
storm
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 11.14 nT
Bz: 7.88 nT north
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 0857 UT 
Coronal Holes: 28 Jun 24

There are no equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
Credit: SDO/AIA

Polar Stratospheric Clouds
Colorful Type II polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) form when the temperature in the stratosphere drops to a staggeringly low -85C. NASA's MERRA-2 climate model predicts when the air up there is cold enough:

On June 28, 2024, the Arctic stratosphere is  much too warm for Type II polar stratospheric clouds. | more data.

Noctilucent Clouds 
They're back! The northern season for NLCs is underway. The first clouds were detected inside the Arctic Circle on May 25, 2024, by the NOAA 21 satellite. The clouds have since spread, and now observers are seeing from the ground as well:

noctilucent clouds
Updated: June 26, 2024

An instrument onboard NOAA 21 (OMPS LP) is able to detect NLCs (also known as "polar mesospheric clouds" or PMCs). In the daily map, above, each dot is a detected cloud. As the season progresses, these dots will multiply in number and shift in hue from blue to red as the brightness of the clouds intensifies.

SPACE WEATHER
NOAA Forecasts
Updated at: 2024 Jun 27 2200 UTC
FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
55 %
55 %
CLASS X
05 %
05 %
Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm
Updated at: 2024 Jun 27 2200 UTC
Mid-latitudes 
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
35 %
45 %
MINOR
20 %
20 %
SEVERE
05 %
05 %
High latitudes 
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
10 %
10 %
MINOR
25 %
25 %
SEVERE
50 %
60 %
 

https://www.spaceweather.com