[SFDXA] Hurricane Milton - Storm Updates

[Bill]

    Hurricane Milton - Storm Updates

10/06/2024

*Sunday, October 6, 2024 9:00 PM Eastern Update:*

Hurricane Milton was located just over 300 mileswest-northeast of 
Progreso, Mexico, and 835 miles west-southwest of Tampa, Florida with 
winds of 100 miles per hour. Hurricane Milton was moving in an 
east-southeast direction at 6 mph and is forecasted to arrive near 
Tampa, Florida on Wednesday as at least a Category 3.

The Hurricane Watch Net is making tentative plans to activate on Tuesday 
afternoon for Hurricane Milton. The current forecast, issued at 5:00 PM 
EDT Sunday is calling for Milton to become a powerful Category 4 
Hurricane with sustained winds of 145 miles per hour. This is the same 
strength Helene was at landfall a week ago. Additionally, Milton is 
expected to be at least a Cat 2 Hurricane after crossing Florida and 
entering the Atlantic Ocean. Those in Bermuda need to keep a close eye 
on Milton as this storm could possibly affect the island on Saturday.

*Hurricane Watch Net (HWN) Tentative Activation Plans:*

*Tuesday (Line Up Reporting Stations, EOCs, Storm Shelters)*

·*20 meters:* 14.325 MHz (USB) at 5:00 PM EDT (2100 UTC) until we lose 
propagation at night.

·*40 meters:* 7.268 MHz (LSB) at 5:00 PM EDT (2100 UTC). We will remain 
active on this frequency throughout the day and overnight for as long as 
propagation allows. If propagation allows us to operate all night, we 
will suspend operations at 7:30 AM EDT Wednesday to allow the Waterway 
Net to conduct their daily Net.

*Wednesday (Landfall Day)*

·*20 meters:* we will resume operations on 14.325 MHz at 7:00 AM EDT 
(1100 UTC) and remain active until we lose propagation at night.

·*40 meters:* we will resume operations on 7.268 MHz at 8:30 AM EDT 
(1230 UTC). We will remain active on this frequency throughout the day 
and overnight for as long as propagation allows. If propagation allows 
us to operate all night, we will suspend operations at 7:30 AM EDT 
Thursday to allow the Waterway Net to conduct their daily Net.

*Thursday (Post Storm Reports, Emergency Traffic, Health & Welfare Traffic.*

·*20 meters:* we will resume operations on 14.325 MHz at 7:00 AM EDT 
(1100 UTC).

·*40 meters:* we will resume operations on 7.268 MHz at 8:30 AM EDT 
(1230 UTC).

Any change to these plans will be posted on www.hwn.org 
<http://www.hwn.org/>, and the HWN social media pages.

As with any Net Activation, if you are to be in the affected area of 
Milton, please take all necessary precautions to protect your family and 
yourself! If are in a position to safely do so, we would love to have 
check in with us and provide your observed weather information. While we 
greatly appreciate measured data, we gladly accept estimated weather 
data as well. We relay that data to the National Hurricane Center in 
Miami. This information is extremely important to the forecasters as it 
gives them more information as to what the storm is or is not doing. It 
also helps them to provide a more accurate forecast!

On Sunday October 6, 2024, at 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of 
Tropical Storm Milton was located by NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near 
latitude 22.6 North, longitude 94.9 West. Milton has been moving slowly 
eastward overnight, and an eastward to east-northeastward motion is 
forecast during the next couple of days, followed by a faster 
northeastward motion.

On the forecast track, Milton is forecast to move across the Gulf of 
Mexico and approach the west coast of the Florida Peninsula by midweek.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 miles per hour (MPH) 
with higher gusts. Steady to rapid strengthening is forecast during the 
next few days.

Milton could become a major hurricane while it moves across the central 
and eastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up 
to 35 miles from the center.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 8 inches, with localized totals up to 12 
inches, are expected across portions of the Florida Peninsula and the 
Keys through Wednesday night. This rainfall brings he risk of flash, 
urban, and areal flooding, along with minor to moderate river flooding.

In addition to Milton, the NHC is also watching Hurricane Kirk and 
Hurricane Leslie, strong storms that could have additional impact in the 
Gulf of Mexico and the west coast of Florida.

Amateur radio operators will also be ready as these storms move quickly 
towards landfall.

https://www.arrl.org/news/hurricane-milton-storm-updates


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