[SFDXA] LoTW heading for Statistical Cliff?

[Norman Alexander]

There are those who do not think that the League has this LoTW processing issue 
under control.  See comments from W4TV, of Microham below.


Norm
======================================================

> Delay keeps growing. Up to 8 days just a few minutes ago.

Agreed - 8 days 14 hours!  At the current rate of growth the
delay will be 9 days before tomorrow.  Here are the latest
numbers I have:

Upload Time           Time Processed      Elapsed Time
============ ========= ========= ========= ========= =======
2012/11/23  18:00    2012/11/27  00:43    3  06:43:34
2012/11/28  22:32    2012/12/05  02:08    6  03:35:10
2012/11/29  18:38    2012/12/06  05:10    6  10:32:20
2012/11/30  00:58    2012/12/06  18:24    6  17:26:26
2012/11/30  17:04    2012/12/07  17:28    7  00:24:16
2012/12/01  08:20    2012/12/08  19:09    7  10:49:15
2012/12/01  12:30    2012/12/09  01:10    7  12:40:49
2012/12/02  05:00    2012/12/10  19:31    8  14:31:29

The delay is growing out of control - between 12/1 and 112/2
there were 2.5 times as many QSOs uploaded as LotW processed
and LotW has been processing an *average* of 11,000 QSOs per
minute or about 264,000 QSOs per day based on the information
on the home page.

If one plots a trend line, the delay is growing exponentially.
The trend indicates a file uploaded *today* is not likely to
be processed *for more than five weeks* based on the current
rate of growth in the backlog.  Based on the processing time
for files uploaded at 0500z on 12/2, there were about 2.25
million unprocessed QSOs in the queue at that time - and that
was 48 hours *after* the deadline for submitting CQWW CW logs.
With the trend in growth between 11/25 and 12/2, the queue could
hold as many *10 million* unprocessed QSOs (although that is
unlikely)!

I know the folks in Newington are saying "trust us," but their
performance - and complete failure to provide *current data* -
particularly the failure to provide accurate current status on
the size of the processing queue - makes trust very difficult.

73,

... Joe, W4TV




________________________________
From: Mark Horowitz <k2au at hotmail.com>
To: sfdxa <sfdxa at mailman.qth.net>
Sent: Tue, December 11, 2012 6:05:19 AM
Subject: [SFDXA] FW: lotw


Dec 10, 2012: LoTW Log Processing is About 8 Days Behind -- For more information 
on what has been happening with LoTW lately, please see this news item.  NEW... 
The bug that was causing the problem has been fixed.  But there is still a large 
queue of logs steadily being processed.  Thanks for your patience.

HAVE A GREAT DAY MARK PLANTATION, FLORIDA                            
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