[Scan-DC] re skip

knowlton [email protected]
Tue, 28 Oct 2003 19:34:55 -0500


SFI:274 A:20 frm 19 K:4 frm 3 (42 nT) 0000 29 Oct
Frcst: SWX next 24h:severe: G4 S3 R3=20
Obs: SWX last 24h:severe: S3 R4=20

Flare: 6h hi:M1(1730Z Oct28) 24h hi:X17(1110Z Oct28)

SSN: 238 (27 Oct 2003)
Au: 9
S Wind: 238 km/s @ 27 Oct 2003 protons/cm3
Bz:  -5.7 nT at 2003 Oct 28 2358Z

Global HF Propagation Conditions=20
for 2300Z on 28 Oct, 2003
Low Latitude: Normal
Mid Latitude: Fair
Hi  Latitude: Poor(PCA)

Watch (1): Geomagnetic A-Index of 100 or greater predicted
Valid for UTC Day: 2003 Oct 30

Warning (12): Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 1147 UTC To: 2003 Oct 28 1200 UTC
Condition: Onset

Warning (13): Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 1147 UTC To: 2003 Oct 28 1500 UTC
Condition: Onset.  Extends Warning #12.

Warning (14): Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 1147 UTC To: 2003 Oct 29 1500 UTC
Condition: Persistence.  Extends Warning #13.

Warning (197): Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 1201 UTC To: 2003 Oct 28 1500 UTC
Condition: Onset

Warning (198): Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 1201 UTC To: 2003 Oct 30 1200 UTC
Condition: Persistence.  Extends Warning #197.

Watch (25): Geomagnetic A-index of 50 or greater predicted
Valid for UTC Day: 2003 Oct 29

Warning (30): Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 0240 UTC To: 2003 Oct 28 0330 UTC
Condition: IP Shock Passage Observed: 2003 Oct 28 0200 UTC

Warning (770): Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 0444 UTC To: 2003 Oct 28 1500 UTC
Condition: Onset

Warning (771): Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 0444 UTC To: 2003 Oct 28 1600 UTC
Condition: Persistence.  Extends Warning #770.

Warning (772): Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
From: 2003 Oct 28 0444 UTC To: 2003 Oct 29 1600 UTC
Condition: Persistence.  Extends Warning #771.

Alert (818): Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Threshold Reached on 2003 Oct 28 0446 UTC


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