[R-390] spiralining values

[Cecil Acuff]

Bernie and Group,

        I think the proposed time line is a little short...short by at least 
10 years probably 20.  I find it hard to believe that the world as a whole 
could or would move that quickly to Digital.  We've been talking about 
digital TV in the US for the last 10 years and it still hasn't happened to 
any great degree.  I think we are on the brink but I expect it to take at 
least 5 more years to achieve any significant market saturation.  The 
government (FCC)will slip the deadlines....economics always rules.

I don't see any real changes in the domestic AM broadcast band for 10 years 
or more...If one wants to go digital in their cars they can do so today with 
Sirius or XM today...most are listening to FM.  I can't remember the last 
time I used the AM radio in my vehicle for entertainment...but I cruise the 
BCB on my tube gear for a different reason....DXing.

I don't see villagers in the jungles of Africa having access to digital 
capabilities due to the economic realities for many years....meaning to 
continue to reach those folks analog service providers will be necessary for 
many years to come.

If all else fails there will be Amateur Radio analog to tune to.

Personally I think there will be something to listen to on our analog 
receivers for the remainder of our life times....(25 - 30 years.  I'm 49) 
Can't say much beyond that though.

I think the reality is we will see the prices of these radio's continue to 
climb till us "Baby Boomers" as we seem to be called are all dead and gone.

I'm certainly not ready to dump my collection for next to nothing because of 
concern of a market crashing technology change.  Heck I'll set up my Johnson 
Valliant and broadcast at 100mw to the shop and play oldies or 
something....HA!

Cecil....
----- Original Message ----- 
From: "bernie nicholson" <vk2abn at bigpond.net.au>
To: <r-390 at mailman.qth.net>
Sent: Monday, December 12, 2005 5:09 PM
Subject: [R-390] spiralining values


Regarding the upward value of tube era gear I think that it will probably 
survive until the end of analog radio   ,Digital broadcasting is about to 
take off , and in Australia they are turning off anolog TV in a couple of 
years time, to use existing equipment one will need a set top box  if you 
haven't bought a digital TV , but with radio , I don't think that anyone 
will contemplate the manufacture of  set top boxes , Digital radios in mass 
production will be cheap , and our beautiful 390 RX s will become static 
exhibits , GREAT BIG BEHEMOTHS , when switched on to demonstrate you will 
still be able to hear static and  tube shot noise and the occasional digital 
gurgle BUT WILL ANYONE BOTHER ?   I don't think so there will be some 
relegated to museums BUT THE REMAINING  60 000 or so I doubt that you will 
be able to give them away   , I hope you all don't think that my vision of 
the future is too severe but I feel pretty confidant that THIS is reality 
and it will happen  within the next 10 years , I HOPE I AM WRONG , Regards 
to all   Bernie Nicholson
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