[Premium-Rx] communication future ??

[Ben Wallace]

3G cellular is finally gaining traction around 
the world.  All 3G cellular technology is based 
upon CDMA and offers significant data rate 
increases (EvDO).  The next generation of 
cellular communication (4G) will most likely be 
some form of OFDM -- very high speed and targeted 
to the mobile user.  I do not believe that WiMAX 
will be ubiquitous enough to take much market 
share away cellular/PSC/DVB-H and MediaFLO.

A lot of effort for the future is in wireless -- 
and whoever can deliver the bandwidth (cheaply), 
and deliver almost anywhere will be the 
winner.  Something to look forward to......This 
autumn Verizon Wireless will initiate something 
called MediaFLO.  It will be a so-called add on 
to their non-real time VCast service.  MediaFLO 
will offer real-time video and audio programming 
(20 video and audio channels) to the cellular/PCS 
handset using a discrete UHF channel (what we 
used to know as UHF TV Channel 55).  The discrete 
channel is required since the celluar and PCS 
networks can not handle the data requirements of 
real-time programming.  There is a competing 
service called DVB-H being pushed by Nokia and 
Crown Castle Towers.  MediaFLO is being pushed by Qualcomm.

So for the near future, I see two big blocks of 
users.  The mobile user who will be offered 
increasingly higher bandwidths and additional 
video and audio programming on a single handset 
(IPod dead?).  The other block will be home users 
where I think cable and DSL will be solid for the 
next 3-4 years.  IP based video programming (TV) 
is coming -- but in the US where we are so far 
behind other countries that will come some time.... much later.

Ben Wallace
WB8HUR
San Diego






At 06:01 PM 4/2/2006, Steve Stutman wrote:
>Depends on the sociology of deployment of 802.11 and successors.
>
>If every other house in an MSA had a wireless 
>something XCVR, then cellphones would be mostly 
>"wireless" (I prefer Radio) VOIP or similar. In 
>1989, Moto and others tried something similar; was termed CT2 then.
>
>Obviously, the people who own the existing 
>spectrum and systems for your neighbors' belt 
>jewelry would rather this doesn't happen. Maybe 
>our government, with its tight-fisted spending, 
>will not build out the "wireless Net" along 
>highways and boonies. Maybe private sector picks 
>up;  might be that a clever lawyer prevents this.
>
>"Cellular" ants can, as you know, be made to 
>look like trees, gaslamps etc. So tower 
>extinction depends largely on the lawyers and 
>accountants and future network access and topology.
>
>Then again maybe someone puts up some sats with bigs ants in geosynch orbit.
>
>I also prefer HF.
>
>73
>
>Steve
>
>
>and Mac McCullough wrote:
>
>>Somewhat off topic but with this advance guard 
>>membership in forward looking and technology involved..
>>
>>Where are we headed with Cell Phone technology 
>>with respect in say 10 years, compared to the 
>>present use of cell towers vs. full satellite 
>>or whatever method will we have that will be 
>>popular technology ...  My reason for asking is 
>>in my local community I have a host of members 
>>who hate cell towers { all the while using this 
>>thing strapped to their waist or pocket }  but 
>>love their cell phone.. and I am a member of 
>>this towns Planning and Zoning Commission and 
>>of course an HF addict, but I see cell tower 
>>need or use in the next 10 years,  *GOING 
>>AWAY,* becoming passé...  but is my thinking 
>>wrong or closer to right ??  all insight 
>>welcomed  .. Where are we headed  ??    thanx  mac/mc
>>w5mc
>>Located 46 miles due North of the Alamo, and 
>>121 miles due South of the Western White House.   see my website at
>>www.collinsandharrisradios.com <http://www.collinsandharrisradios.com>
>>
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