[PBARC] Hazardous Weather Outlook

[E. Glenn Wolf, Jr.]

FLUS44 KLZK 122253 AAB
HWOLZK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
445 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-131100-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
445 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT

..THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

..SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS LIKELY ACROSS ARKANSAS TONIGHT...

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS MUCH OF ARKANSAS 
THROUGH TONIGHT. 

A DRYLINE REMAINED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. WARM... 
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WAS TO ITS EAST...WITH VERY DRY AIR TO ITS 
WEST. THE ATMOSPHERE ABOVE THE DRYLINE WAS SLIGHTLY CAPPED DUE TO A 
WARM LAYER OF AIR ALOFT. HOWEVER...THE CAP WAS SLOWLY WEAKENING. 

TOWARD THIS EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP ALONG THE 
DRYLINE...AND WILL TRACK INTO ARKANSAS. SCATTERED SUPERCELLS...OR 
STORMS WITH ROTATING UPDRAFTS...WILL BE NOTED. THE STORMS ARE LIKELY 
TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. THE 
SUPERCELLS WILL MOSTLY AFFECT WESTERN INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE 
STATE.

AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT STORMS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE 
WESTERN COUNTIES THIS EVENING...AND WILL NOT REACH CENTRAL ARKANSAS 
UNTIL MIDNIGHT OR SO. 

AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES...A COLD FRONT IN THE PLAINS WILL CATCH UP 
TO THE DRY LINE...AND STORMS MAY FORM INTO A LINE FROM CENTRAL INTO 
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. THE LINE OF STORMS WILL NOT REACH 
THE EASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

PEOPLE IN ARKANSAS ARE URGED TO REVIEW THEIR SEVERE WEATHER RULES... 
AND MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BULLETINS FOR ANY WARNINGS... 
WATCHES...AND STATEMENTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. USE OF 
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR TELEVISIONS WITH ALERT FEATURES FOR SEVERE 
WEATHER WILL COME IN HANDY DURING THIS SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT TO THE EAST OF ARKANSAS MONDAY 
MORNING...WITH STORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER COMING TO AN END. HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE 
STATE FOR MUCH OF MONDAY AND TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES RETURN LATE 
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH TONIGHT 
WITH A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT LIKELY.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE 
VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

$$

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