[PBARC] BULLETIN - NASHVILLE TORNADO TAKES OUT NWS CAPABILITY

[WOLF, EARNEST G]

...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE-NO LONGER ISSUING WARNINGS...
...NO WORD FROM NWS NASHVILLE SINCE TORNADO IN AREA (35MINS)...
...NWS MORRISTOWN TN NOW ISSUING FOR ENTIRE STATE...
...DEBRIS SEEN IN NASHVILLE ON RADAR... 


...WE ARE MONITORING THE AREA LIVE... 
...NWS HUNTSVILLE FEARS WORST IN NASHVILLE AREA.. 


DISCUSSION: ONGOING SEVERE SUPERCELL STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL TENNESSEE AND WESTERN KENTUCKY WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS. MULTIPLE TORNADO WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. 

VERY POTENT TORNADIC SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE LOWER MS VALLEY AS STRONG UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW MOVE EWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR...VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPES IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG WILL LEAD TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS VICINITY LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED WITH POTENTIAL FOR VIOLENT/LONG TRACK TORNADOES AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS EWD ACROSS WATCH AREA THRU THE EVENING.

EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG WIND SHEAR OVER PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS WILL AID IN THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES WITH THE SUPERCELLS THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST RISK OF STRONG LONG-TRACK TORNADOES WILL BE FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI/SOUTHWESTERN TENNESSEE EASTWARD THROUGH NORTHERN ALABAMA AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

STORM SPOTTER LIVE METEOROLOGISTS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DANGEROUS SITUATION AND UPDATE FORECASTS AS CONDITIONS WARRANT. ANOTHER UPDATE IS LIKELY SHORTLY AFTER A SPECIALLY SCHEDULED NOON WEATHER BALLOON LAUNCH. 

WE HIGHLY RECOMMEND THAT PERSONS IN THE AREA FORECAST TO BE AFFECTED STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST INFORMATION BY BROADCAST MEDIA, NOAA WEATHER RADIO, AND WEATHERNETLIVE <http://www.weathernetlive.com> .